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COVID-19 presents humanity with not just a health crisis but also a governance crisis as leaders around the globe confront the challenges of stemming the spread of the virus. Various governments have responded in various ways to slow the transmission of the virus. Ideally, the leaders of a country should approach the crisis with a two-pronged attack. The first is to flatten the epidemic curve (epi curve), which is simply a graphical representation of the number of cases and date of onset of the illness, and the second is to raise or strengthen the capacity of the health system. 

Flattening the epi curve includes mass testing for COVID-19, which has been done in South Korea, for example. Decreasing the incidence also includes quarantine, isolation, and other social distancing strategies, which have been done by various countries in varying degrees. For example, in China, total lockdown (cordon sanitaire) was implemented in Wuhan, of the Hubei province, while in the Philippines, the entire Luzon, which consists of eight administrative regions, including the national capital region (NCR), was in total lockdown (enhanced community quarantine, or ECQ) since March 16 (World Health Organization [WHO] 2020a). Other parts of the Philippines were under different degrees of quarantine at different periods since the appearance of local transmission.

Raising the health care system capacity of a country may include, but is not limited to, training of health care workers, increasing facilities or hospitals that receive COVID patients, and providing adequate personal protective equipment (PPE).

This paper offers a brief epidemiological review of COVID-19 since its first case in China and how the hotspots for this disease evolved and changed over a relatively short period. This paper also aims to provide a short descriptive review of the existing data on COVID-19 in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) region and the government response of its ten member countries, so that we can somehow draw lessons and learn from these myriad experiences as we continue to combat the spread of this dangerous pathogen. The findings in this paper are preliminary, and more rigorous analysis is expected to be performed as the data becomes more extensive and available.

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Asia Health Policy Program working paper # 58
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Marjorie Pajaron

Center members are invited to the Shorenstein APARC 2019 - 2020 Year End Party on Friday, May 29, 2020. Please come join us to celebrate the last academic year and say farewell to this year's visitors.

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Year End Party Invitation

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This event is via Zoom Webinar. Please register in advance for the webinar by using the link below.

REGISTRATION LINKhttps://bit.ly/2xZHser

Part of APARC series COVID-19 IN ASIA: RESPONSES AND IMPLICATIONS FOR THE REGION

Co-sponsored by the Asia Health Policy Program and the Southeast Asia Program

Speakers (live and pre-recorded):

Dr. Dorairaj Prabhakaran, Professor of chronic disease epidemiology, Public Health Foundation of India, and Executive Director, Center for Chronic Disease Control.

Dr. Pham Quang Thai, Member of the Vietnam Steering Committee for COVID-19 Prevention and Control

Dr. HAC Van Vinh, Associate Professor & former Dean of Research & International Relations, Thai Nguyen University of Medicine and Pharmacy

Dr. Richard Cash, Senior Lecturer on Global Health, T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University

Dr. Radhika Jain, Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, APARC, FSI, Stanford University

Dr. Arzan Tarapore, Research Scholar, APARC, FSI, Stanford University

How is the pandemic impacting health systems and society in south and southeast Asia? Numerous experts share their perspectives on topics ranging from COVID-19 challenges in Bangladesh, India and Vietnam, to geopolitical considerations for U.S. policy in the wider Indo-Pacific.

Via Zoom Webinar.

Register at https://bit.ly/2xZHser

Dorairaj Prabhakaran Professor of chronic disease epidemiology, Public Health Foundation of India, and Executive Director, Center for Chronic Disease Control.
Pham Quang Thai Member of the Vietnam Steering Committee for COVID-19 Prevention and Control
HAC Van Vinh Associate Professor & former Dean of Research & International Relations, Thai Nguyen University of Medicine and Pharmacy
Richard Cash Senior Lecturer on Global Health, T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University
Shorenstein APARC Stanford University Encina Hall E301 Stanford, CA 94305-6055
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Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, 2019-2022
radhika_jain.jpg Ph.D.

Radhika Jain was the Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow for 2019-2022 at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC).  Her research focuses on health care markets, the effectiveness of public health policy, and gender disparities in health.

She completed her doctorate in the Department of Global Health at Harvard University in 2019.  Her dissertation examined the extent to which government subsidies for health care under insurance are captured by private hospitals instead of being passed through to patients, and whether accountability measures can help patients claim their entitlements. Dr. Jain's research has been supported by grants from the Weiss Family Fund and the Jameel Poverty Action Lab (JPAL). She has worked on impact evaluations of health programs in India and on the implementation of HIV programs across several countries in sub-Saharan Africa. She also held a doctoral fellowship at the Center for Global Development.

At Shorenstein APARC, Radhika began new work on understanding the factors that contribute to poor female health outcomes and interventions to increase the effectiveness of public health insurance.

Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, APARC, FSI, Stanford University
Arzan Tarapore Research Scholar, APARC, FSI, Stanford University
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Noa Ronkin
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Rapid population aging is transforming societies around the world, and the Asia-Pacific region is on the frontlines of this unprecedented demographic shift. Life expectancy in Japan, South Korea, and much of urban China has now outpaced that of the United States and other high-income countries. With this triumph of longevity, however, comes a host of health, social, and economic challenges.

Longer lifespans will necessitate working to older ages, “but extending work lives will only be feasible if the added years are healthy ones, and will only be equitable if the least advantaged also benefit from healthy aging,” writes APARC Deputy Director and Asia Health Policy Program Director Karen Eggleston in her new book, Healthy Aging in Asia. “The great blessing of longer lives dims when clouded by pain, disability, and loss of dignity.”

[Listen to our conversation with Eggelston about the book and continue reading below. To receive stories like this directly in your inbox sign up for APARC newsletters]

Shorenstein APARC · Healthy Aging In Asia | Karen Eggleston

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Poster featuring the book Healthy Aging in Asia


Societies around the world must reduce disparities in health outcomes and address the older age-associated rise in the burden of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) such as diabetes, hypertension, and cancer. Indeed, the COVID-19 pandemic has underscored the vulnerability of older adults suffering from NCDs to newly emerging pathogens and the importance of building long-term, resilient health systems.


How are health systems in Asia promoting evidence-based policies for healthy aging? What strategies have they used to prevent NCDs, screen for early disease detection, raise the quality of care, improve medication adherence, reduce unnecessary hospitalizations, and increase “value for money” in health spending?

The concise chapters in Healthy Aging in Asia examine these questions, covering multiple aspects of policy initiatives and economic research on healthy longevity in diverse Asian economies — from cities such as Singapore and Hong Kong to powerhouses such as Japan, India, and China — as they transform their health systems to support wellbeing in older age. Eggleston edited and contributed multiple chapters to this new volume, now available via Brookings Institution Press. This publication is part of APARC’s in-house series with the Brookings Institution.

Dr. Karen Eggleston

Karen Eggleston

Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Director of the Asia Health Policy Program, and Deputy Director of the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center
Full Biography

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Karen Eggleston Testifies on China’s Healthcare System to Congressional Review Commission

Asia health policy expert Karen Eggleston provides testimony for a U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission hearing on China's domestic healthcare infrastructure and the use of technology in its healthcare system amid COVID-19.
Karen Eggleston Testifies on China’s Healthcare System to Congressional Review Commission
Elderly Chinese citizens sit together on a park bench.
Q&As

Karen Eggleston Examines China’s Looming Demographic Crisis, in Fateful Decisions

Karen Eggleston Examines China’s Looming Demographic Crisis, in Fateful Decisions
Michael McFaul, Xueguang Zhou, Karen Eggleston, Gi-Wook Shin, Don Emmerson, and Yong Suk Lee
News

FSI Hosts APARC Panel on COVID-19 Impacts in Asia

Scholars from each of APARC's programs offer insights on policy responses to COVID-19 throughout Asia.
FSI Hosts APARC Panel on COVID-19 Impacts in Asia
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Asia health policy expert Karen Eggleston’s new volume, ‘Healthy Aging in Asia,’ examines how diverse Asian economies – from Singapore and Hong Kong to Japan, India, and China – are preparing for older population age structures and transforming health systems to support patients who will live with chronic disease for decades.

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Noa Ronkin
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What are the Chinese government’s objectives for the development of its healthcare system? How do these ambitions affect its interaction with U.S. and other foreign healthcare markets? And what policy recommendations should lawmakers consider regarding the development of China's healthcare system and its implications for U.S. national interests? These are some of the questions that APARC Deputy Director and Asia Health Policy Program Director Karen Eggleston discussed in her testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on May 7, 2020.

Watch Eggleston’s testimony (start time 23:25]

Read Eggleston's complete testimony
Download pdf

[To receive more stories like this in your inbox sign up for APARC’s newsletters]

Chaired by Dr. Robin Cleveland, the commission’s hearing, “China’s Evolving Healthcare Ecosystem: Challenges and Opportunities,” focused on China's domestic healthcare infrastructure and its use of technology in the light of the COVID-19 pandemic. The commission listened as Eggleston reviewed the strides China has made in its national health reforms and highlighted the many challenges its health system now faces. “It is in the interest of Americans and Chinese to have a strong, resilient healthcare system in China,” she said. “The United States should reemphasize scientific, evidence-based health policy and regulation, and encourage China to do so as well.”

The commission’s mandate is to investigate and submit to Congress an annual report on the national security implications of the bilateral trade and economic relationship between the United States and China and to provide recommendations to Congress for legislative action.

Ambitious Goals, Complex Challenges

Reforms over the past two decades, noted Eggleston, have brought China’s health system closer to a level of reliability and accessibility commensurate with the country’s dramatic economic growth. The government has already achieved its goal of providing universal health coverage and has made significant progress in many of the areas outlined in its “Healthy China 2030” blueprint, including tackling health disparities between regional and urban/rural population subgroups and building a more comprehensive and higher quality health service delivery system.

Still, China faces many daunting challenges, from dealing with COVID-19 and its aftermath to other urgent and lingering needs, such as tackling its looming demographic crisis and promoting healthy aging, addressing patient-provider tensions and trust, and changing provider payment to promote “value” rather than volume. If China is to make its investments in universal health coverage and rapid medical spending growth sustainable, said Eggleston, then it must build an infrastructure that increases health system efficiency, strengthens primary care, reforms provider payment system, and protects the most vulnerable from illness-induced poverty.

Constructive policies in support of health system improvements in both the United States and China could strengthen the global capacity to control future pandemics and avoid the devastating social and economic effects of future outbreaks on the scale of COVID-19.
Karen Eggleston

Technology and COVID-19 Response

Like other countries, China’s government and private sector have utilized various technologies in response to the COVID-19 crisis, such as telemedicine, “internet-plus” healthcare, and contact tracing applications, and are deploying digital and biotechnologies in efforts focused on epidemic mentoring and on treatment and vaccine development. Eggleston noted that the response to COVID-19 “will leave an indelible mark on health policies for decades to come,” not only in terms of technology adoption but also organizational innovation. One would hope to see future prioritization in resource allocation and renewed investment in the diagnosis and treatment of health system weaknesses, she added.

Recommendations for Congress

In all our policies and interactions, Eggleston concluded her testimony, we should remember that China is large and diverse, that local government agencies are those that make many important decisions in health policies as in other policies, and that the “Chinese people” are not synonymous with any given leader. “Avoid politicizing the COVID-19 pandemic and other health and humanitarian issues,” she noted. “In other geopolitical considerations in bilateral US-China relations, uphold U.S. interests while encouraging the PRC to be active as a globally responsible stakeholder.”

The U.S. government should encourage China and its scientists and firms to work collaboratively with multilateral efforts to prevent and control future pandemics, she argued. Specific recommended actions include supporting efforts to strengthen primary care and population health interventions with proven cost-effectiveness; sharing experiences with regional, community-based efforts to address the social determinants of health and promote multisector policies for healthy aging; encouraging public-private collaborative governance arrangements to strengthen the health sector in China; promoting transparent peer review of research and international collaboration between Chinese and American scientists, medical educators, health systems researchers, and technology developers; and collaborating with Chinese counterparts to address regional issues of population health importance, such as health problems in the DPRK and integration of public health priorities into China’s Belt and Road Initiative.

Read Eggleston's complete testimony >> 

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Karen Eggleston Examines China’s Looming Demographic Crisis, in Fateful Decisions

Karen Eggleston Examines China’s Looming Demographic Crisis, in Fateful Decisions
Young patients receive treatment at Chongqing Children's Hospital in Chongqing Municipality, China.
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On China’s Dramatic Health Care System Improvements – and Its Tortuous Road Ahead

On China’s Dramatic Health Care System Improvements – and Its Tortuous Road Ahead
Michael McFaul, Xueguang Zhou, Karen Eggleston, Gi-Wook Shin, Don Emmerson, and Yong Suk Lee
News

FSI Hosts APARC Panel on COVID-19 Impacts in Asia

Scholars from each of APARC's programs offer insights on policy responses to COVID-19 throughout Asia.
FSI Hosts APARC Panel on COVID-19 Impacts in Asia
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Karen Eggleston speaking to an online panel.
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Asia health policy expert Karen Eggleston provides testimony for a U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission hearing on China's domestic healthcare infrastructure and the use of technology in its healthcare system amid COVID-19.

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The intention to pay for human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination among women of childbearing age in Vietnam, where cervical cancer remains a significant public health concern, has been mostly lacking. To examine this issue, we conducted a cross-sectional study of 807 pregnant women in an urban and a rural district (Dong Da and Ba Vi) of Hanoi, Vietnam. The vast percentage of our respondents expressed a firm intention to vaccinate, especially women in rural areas (over 90.0%). However, on being informed of the current price of the HPV vaccine, their intention to vaccinate dropped to about one-fifth of overall respondents, i.e., only 4.4% of women in rural areas. It was also observed that the initial intention to get the HPV vaccination among women in the rural district was
about ten times higher than that of women living in the metropolitan district. Those participants who had greater knowledge of cervical cancer andHPV vaccinations also had a significantly higher intention to vaccinate. Our findings underscore the need to develop a well-designed vaccination program in Vietnam and other countries in a similar situation to increase the adoption of HPV vaccination.

Keywords: HPV vaccination; cervical cancer; intention; women; Vietnam

Published: Intention to Pay for HPV Vaccination among Women of Childbearing Age in Vietnam

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Asia Health Policy Program working paper # 57
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Cover of Healthy Aging in Asia that shows an elderly woman in a Chinese village.
Life expectancy in Japan, South Korea, and much of urban China has now outpaced that of the United States and other high-income countries. With this triumph of longevity, however, comes a rise in the burden of noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) like diabetes and hypertension, reducing healthy life years for individuals in these aging populations, as well as challenging the healthcare systems they rely on for appropriate care.  
 
The challenges and disparities are even more pressing in low- and middle-income economies, such as rural China and India. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has underscored the vulnerability to newly emerging pathogens of older adults suffering from NCDs, and the importance of building long-term, resilient health systems. 
 
What strategies have been tried to prevent NCDs—the primary cause of morbidity and mortality — as well as to screen for early detection, raise the quality of care, improve medication adherence, reduce unnecessary hospitalizations and increase “value for money” in health spending? 
 
Fourteen concise chapters cover multiple aspects of policy initiatives for healthy aging and economic research on chronic disease control in diverse health systems — from cities such as Singapore and Hong Kong to large economies such as Japan, India, and China. 
 

Desk, examination, or review copies can be requested through Stanford University Press.

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APARC's China Program recently hosted Center Fellow Thomas Fingar for the webinar "Was America’s China Policy a Foolish Failure? The Logic and Achievements of Engagement." In this talk, Fingar examines the longtime U.S. strategy of engagement with China as well as the potential shift toward a strategy of decoupling. "Much recent commentary on U.S. relations with China claims that the policy of 'Engagement' was a foolish and failed attempt to transform the People’s Republic into an American style democracy that instead created an authoritarian rival," he says. "This narrative mocks the policies of eight U.S. administrations to justify calls for 'Decoupling' and 'Containment 2.0.'” Fingar argues that the policy of Engagement has been fruitful and that Decoupling is not only inadvisable but also unattainable. Watch:

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APARC Fellow Thomas Fingar on the U.S. Intelligence Report that Warned of a Coronavirus Pandemic

In our online conversation, Fingar discusses the 2008 National Intelligence Council report he oversaw and that urged action on coronavirus pandemic preparedness, explains the U.S. initial failed response to the COVID-19 outbreak, and considers the implications of the current crisis for U.S.-China relations.
APARC Fellow Thomas Fingar on the U.S. Intelligence Report that Warned of a Coronavirus Pandemic
Quote from Thomas Fingar and Jean Oi from, "China's Challeges: Now It Gets Much Harder"
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Now It Gets Much Harder: Thomas Fingar and Jean Oi Discuss China’s Challenges in The Washington Quarterly

Now It Gets Much Harder: Thomas Fingar and Jean Oi Discuss China’s Challenges in The Washington Quarterly
BEIJING, CHINA - Workers sit near a CRH (China Railway High-speed) "bullet train" at the Beijing South Railway Station under reconstruction.
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High-Speed Rail Holds Promise and Problems for China, Explains David M. Lampton

In a new audio interview, Lampton discusses some of the challenges, uncertainties, and decisions that loom ahead of China's Belt and Road Initiative.
High-Speed Rail Holds Promise and Problems for China, Explains David M. Lampton
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Decoupling, according to Fingar, is not only inadvisable but also unattainable. 

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While Wuhan, China was the first epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic, every nation in Asia has been deeply affected by the spread of the virus. In a virtual seminar convened by the Freeman Spogli Institute, APARC experts discuss the social and economic impacts of COVID-19 and the various policy responses to the pandemic across Asian nations.

Senior Fellow Xueguang Zhou focuses on the phases of crisis response taken by the PRC in the early stages of the unfolding coronavirus outbreak. Center Fellow and Korea Program Deputy Director Yong Suk Lee discusses the policy responses of the South Korean government. Southeast Asia Program Director Don Emmerson offers a comparison of different governance strategies and actions implemented across Southeast Asian countries, while Karen Eggelston, APARC's deputy director and director of the Asia Health Policy Program, addresses the response of health systems in Japan and South Asia.

Watch the full discussion and Q&A below. You can also read the Stanford Daily's coverage of the event.

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An empty Pennsylvania Avenue in Washington, D.C. seen with the United States Capitol  in the background.
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APARC Fellow Thomas Fingar on the U.S. Intelligence Report that Warned of a Coronavirus Pandemic

In our online conversation, Fingar discusses the 2008 National Intelligence Council report he oversaw and that urged action on coronavirus pandemic preparedness, explains the U.S. initial failed response to the COVID-19 outbreak, and considers the implications of the current crisis for U.S.-China relations.
APARC Fellow Thomas Fingar on the U.S. Intelligence Report that Warned of a Coronavirus Pandemic
BEIJING, CHINA - Workers sit near a CRH (China Railway High-speed) "bullet train" at the Beijing South Railway Station under reconstruction.
News

High-Speed Rail Holds Promise and Problems for China, Explains David M. Lampton

In a new audio interview, Lampton discusses some of the challenges, uncertainties, and decisions that loom ahead of China's Belt and Road Initiative.
High-Speed Rail Holds Promise and Problems for China, Explains David M. Lampton
Portrait of Tom Wright, winner of the 2020 Shoresntein Journalism Award
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Tom Wright, Coauthor of Bestseller 'Billion Dollar Whale' and Longtime Asia Reporter, Wins 2020 Shorenstein Journalism Award

Tom Wright, Coauthor of Bestseller 'Billion Dollar Whale' and Longtime Asia Reporter, Wins 2020 Shorenstein Journalism Award
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Michael McFaul, Xueguang Zhou, Karen Eggleston, Gi-Wook Shin, Don Emmerson, and Yong Suk Lee
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Scholars from each of APARC's programs offer insights on policy responses to COVID-19 throughout Asia.

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WATARU FUKUDA
Chief Representative of the Shizuoka Prefectural Government in Singapore
Global Affiliates Program Fellow, 2014-16

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Wataru Fukuda
In Singapore, the government is strongly restricting our business activities and daily life. Foreign companies like the one I work for worry about receiving penalties from the government for violating COVID-19 prevention measures. In Japan, the government is asking people to self-isolate in their communities. It seems like there is a big difference between Japan and Singapore in how the authorities are handling COVID-19.

 

TSUYOSHI KOSHIKAWA
Chief Advisor, Japan International Cooperation Agency Expert for the Ministry of Planning, Finance, and Industry in Myanmar
Global Affiliates Program Fellow, 2014-15

Tsuyoshi KoshikawaI currently live in Naypyitaw, Myanmar, though I am originally from Japan. Naypyitaw is currently not under shelter-in-place, though the city of Yangon is. In Naypyitaw, restaurants are serving only take-out meals, and most amusement facilities like movie theaters, karaoke boxes, bars, and beauty salons have been closed. There are still a few big department stores open, as well as the public golf course and tennis courts.

At the time of this writing, the number of known COVID-19 cases in Myanmar is nearly 150, and I am worried about the potential risks because the healthcare and medical information systems here are not as organized as in countries like Japan, the UK, or the United States.

Anyone with a fever of 37.5 degrees C (99.5 F) or higher is being kept from entering Yangon. The Ministry of Health is taking all traveler’s temperatures at the airport, railways stations, and the exits of all highway interchanges throughout Yangon. Foreigners with a fever of 38 degrees C (100.4 F) have been told that they will not be permitted into private hospitals anywhere in Myanmar at present. Isolation wards in general hospitals will accommodate foreigners. The situation is frightening, but with frequent handwashing and hygiene, we are trying to take care of each other.

XIAOYUAN SHI
Deputy General Manager in the Internal Audit Bureau at the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
Global Affiliates Program Fellow, 2012-13

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Xiaoyuan Shi
In China, we’ve been dealing with COVID-19 since last December. The government locked down Wuhan City starting in January and asked all people to avoid gatherings or unnecessary trips out. Wearing masks in public and frequently washing hands have also been required. We've strictly followed these directives. As manufacturing, entertainment, social activities, and travel have been suspended, society has slowed down and the economy has experienced significant losses.

Thankfully, our efforts have worked. The new confirmed cases are mostly coming in from foreign travel. Big cities like Beijing and Shanghai have low infection rates, and people feel much less stressed. Social life, work, and production are recovering, and the lockdown of Wuhan City has been lifted. Most schools will continue to use online classes for the time being and restaurants are still not fully open, but I think the most difficult time is behind us.

It’s impossible to spot all of the potential virus carriers, and therefore precautionary measures like avoiding going out unnecessarily, wearing masks in public, and handwashing are still recommended. I’ve not heard of COVID-19 cases or deaths among my acquaintances, thankfully, but the conditions here have proven that this virus is highly infectious and death is possible. I hope our practices here can provide some references for other places where it is spreading.

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China’s Incentives to Work Within the U.S.-led International Order Remain Compelling, Argues Thomas Fingar

In a video Q&A, Fingar discusses the challenges for the U.S.-China relationship and the principles that shape China’s foreign policy and international behavior.
China’s Incentives to Work Within the U.S.-led International Order Remain Compelling, Argues Thomas Fingar
Michael McFaul, Xueguang Zhou, Karen Eggleston, Gi-Wook Shin, Don Emmerson, and Yong Suk Lee
News

FSI Hosts APARC Panel on COVID-19 Impacts in Asia

Scholars from each of APARC's programs offer insights on policy responses to COVID-19 throughout Asia.
FSI Hosts APARC Panel on COVID-19 Impacts in Asia
Elderly Chinese citizens sit together on a park bench.
Q&As

Karen Eggleston Examines China’s Looming Demographic Crisis, in Fateful Decisions

Karen Eggleston Examines China’s Looming Demographic Crisis, in Fateful Decisions
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Various buildings and structures from across Asia Photos by: Hu Chen; bckfwd; Max Van den Oetelaar; Kenneth Bastian; Brady Bellini, via Unsplash
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We've asked some of our former scholars how COVID-19 is changing life in the many places around the world they call home.

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