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Noa Ronkin
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The Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) is pleased to invite applications for four types of fellowship in contemporary Asia studies for the 2022-23 academic year.

The Center offers postdoctoral fellowships that promote multidisciplinary research on contemporary Japan, contemporary Asia broadly defined, health or healthcare policy in the Asia-Pacific region, and a fellowship for experts on Southeast Asia. Learn more about each fellowship and its eligibility and specific application requirements:

Postdoctoral Fellowship on Contemporary Japan

Hosted by the Japan Program at APARC, the fellowship supports research on contemporary Japan in a broad range of disciplines including political science, economics, sociology, law, policy studies, and international relations. Appointments are for one year beginning in fall quarter 2022. The application deadline is January 3, 2022.
 

Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellowship on Contemporary Asia

APARC offers two postdoctoral fellowship positions to junior scholars for research and writing on contemporary Asia. The primary research areas focus on political, economic, or social change in the Asia-Pacific region (including Northeast, Southeast, and South Asia), or international relations and international political economy in the region. Appointments are for one year beginning in fall quarter 2022. The application deadline is January 3, 2022.
 

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[Left] Postdoc Spotlight, Jeffrey Weng, Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellow in Contemporary Asia, [Right] Jeffrey Weng
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The Center offers fellowships for postdoctoral scholars specializing in contemporary Asia, Japan, and Asia health policy and for experts on Southeast Asia.

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Noa Ronkin
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News
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Around the world, societies are aging at a rapid pace. The demographic transition and the challenges surrounding elderly care are defining issues of our time. Aging populations strain public finances and existing models of social support, affect economic growth, and change disease patterns and prevalence. Many countries, therefore, contemplate policy changes to their retirement, pensions, and health care systems. China, which faces a fast-growing trend of aging cohorts, is no exception.

To alleviate the pressure of elderly care on public finances, the Chinese government has been considering raising retirement ages and corresponding changes in social health insurance and pension policy. A new study now helps evaluate such retirement reforms and provides evidence to inform policy in China and elsewhere by probing the effects of retirement on health care utilization.


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The study’s co-authors, including Karen Eggleston, director of the Asia Health Policy Program at APARC, leverage administrative data from medical claims for over 80,000 insured adults in a megacity in eastern China to explore the effect of retirement on outpatient and inpatient care utilization. In this case, urban employee insurance beneficiaries receive a reduced patient cost-sharing rate upon retirement. By focusing on a relatively well-insured population with comprehensive administrative data on insurance plan design and overall resource use at retirement, the study provides new evidence about mechanisms such as the reduced out-of-pocket price of health care, the opportunity cost of time, and the interaction of these demand-side factors with supply-side incentives. Eggleston and her colleagues report on their findings in the journal Health Economics.

Our study reveals that increased utilization at retirement primarily comes in the form of outpatient services.

In this relatively well-insured population, annual health care utilization significantly increases primarily because of more intensive use of outpatient care at retirement. This increase in outpatient care stems from a decline in the patient cost-sharing rate, the reduced time constraints upon retirement, and the interaction of these factors with supply-side incentives such as prescribing antibiotics. There is no evidence of change in inpatient care at retirement.

The economics of medical expenditure growth and its interaction with population aging is of considerable policy importance for countries in all income groups. “Our findings may provide useful evidence as one consideration for policymakers in other cities in China and elsewhere looking to increase insurance benefits and control medical spending for burgeoning elderly populations.

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In China, Better Financial Coverage Increases Health Care Access and Utilization

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The study’s co-authors, including Karen Eggleston, find that health care expenditures among Chinese covered by relatively generous health insurance significantly increase at retirement, primarily due to an increase in the number of outpatient visits.

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Previous studies, mostly analyzing data from high-income economies, present mixed evidence on the relationship between retirement and healthcare utilization. This study leverages administrative data for over 80,000 urban Chinese workers to explore the effect of retirement on outpatient and inpatient care utilization using a fuzzy regression discontinuity design. The analyses of medical claims from a large city in China complement and extend the current literature by providing evidence of potential mechanisms underlying increased short-run utilization. In this relatively well-insured population, annual total healthcare expenditures significantly increase primarily because of more intensive use of outpatient care at retirement, especially at the right tail of the distribution of outpatient visits. This increase in outpatient care appears to stem from a decline in the patient cost-sharing rate and the reduced opportunity cost of time upon retirement, interacting with supplier-induced demand, not from any sudden impact on health. We do not find evidence of change in inpatient care at retirement. The results hold for both females and males and are robust to a number of sensitivity analyses.

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Health Economics
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Karen Eggleston
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India’s COVID-19 lockdown is widely believed to have disrupted critical health services, but its effect on non-COVID health outcomes is largely unknown. Comparing mortality trends among dialysis patients in the eight months around the lockdown with the previous year, we document a 64% increase in mortality between March and May 2020 and an estimated 22-25% total excess mortality through July 2020. The mortality increase is greater among females and disadvantaged groups. Barriers to transportation and disruptions in hospital services appear to be the main drivers of increased morbidity and mortality. The results highlight the unintended consequences of the lockdown on critical and life-saving non-COVID health services that must be taken into account in the implementation of future policy efforts to control the spread of pandemics.
 

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Asia Health Policy Program Working Paper Series working paper #60
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Radhika Jain
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Introduction

Governments around the world suspended immunization outreach to control COVID-19 spread. Many have since resumed services with an emphasis on catch-up vaccinations. This paper evaluated immunization disruptions during India’s March-May 2020 lockdown and the extent to which subsequent catch-up efforts reversed them in Rajasthan, India.
 

Methods

In this retrospective observational study, we conducted phone surveys to collect immunization details for 2,144 children that turned one-year-old between January and October 2020. We used logistic regressions to compare differences in immunization timeliness and completed first-year immunization status among children that were due immunizations just before (unexposed), during (heavily exposed), and after (post-exposure) the lockdown.
 

Results

Relative to unexposed children, heavily exposed children were significantly less likely to be immunized at or before 9 months (OR 0.550; 95% CI 0.367–0.824; p = 0.004), but more likely to be immunized at 10–12 months (OR 1.761; 95% CI 1.196–2.591; p = 0.004). They were also less likely to have completed their key first-year immunizations (OR 0.624; 95% CI 0.478–0.816; p = 0.001) by the time of the survey. In contrast, post-exposure children showed no difference in timeliness or completed first-year immunizations relative to unexposed children, despite their younger age. First-year immunization coverage among heavily exposed children decreased by 6.9 pp to 10.4 pp (9.7% to 14.0%). Declines in immunization coverage were larger among children in households that were poorer, less educated, lower caste, and residing in COVID red zones, although subgroup comparisons were not statistically significant.
 

Conclusion

Disruptions to immunization services resulted in children missing immunization during the lockdown, but catch-up efforts after it was eased ensured many children were reached at later ages. Nevertheless, catch-up was incomplete and children due for their immunizations during the lockdown remained less likely to be fully immunized 4–5 months after it lifted, even as younger cohorts due for immunizations in June or later returned to pre-lockdown schedules.

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A retrospective observational study
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Vaccine
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Radhika Jain
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Issue 31
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This article was first published by the social and political economy portal IndiaSpend.


Women from poor households made about 235,000 fewer hospital visits compared to men for seven gender-neutral disease categories between January 2017 and October 2019, a new study analyzing a Rajasthan state health insurance scheme has estimated. The Bhamashah Swasthya Bima Yojana aims to provide health insurance to about 46 million persons living below the poverty line, as a step towards universal and equitable access to healthcare in the state, per the study.

Pascaline Dupas and Radhika Jain of Stanford University studied data of insurance claims from 4.2 million hospital visits under the Bhamashah scheme from its launch in December 2015 till October 2019, and the study was published as a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper. The study was conducted in partnership with the Rajasthan state government.

Women made up 45% of hospital visits under the Bhamashah scheme between January 2017 and October 2019, though their share in the population is 48%, per the study. The gender gap is starker for girls and older women. The share of girls in children aged under 10 years who visited the hospital under this insurance program was 33%, though their share of this age group's population is 47%; among those aged above 50 years, women are 51%, yet their share of hospital visits under this insurance program was 43%.

"We were struck by this discrepancy in the data. We were not expecting such a large [gender] difference," Dupas, an economist and professor at Stanford University, told IndiaSpend. In most other developed countries for which such data have been analyzed, subsidized healthcare usually caters to those who otherwise don't have access to it, added Jain, a postdoctoral fellow in Asia Health Policy at Stanford University, US.

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A new study of the Rajasthan government's Bhamashah health insurance program for poor households has found that just providing health insurance cover doesn't reduce gender inequality in access to even subsidized health care.

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Radhika Jain
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This opinion piece was first published in the economics and policy portal Ideas for India.


Equity in healthcare is a key goal of health policy in India. Analyzing administrative data from Rajasthan, this article highlights substantial gender gaps in the utilization of subsidized hospital care under the state health insurance program. These disparities persist despite substantial program expansion and seem to be driven by households being less willing to allocate resources to female vis-à-vis male health.

Over the past 15 years, India’s central government and numerous state governments have put in place health insurance programmes that entitle low-income households to free healthcare at public and empanelled private hospitals. Health equity and universal health coverage are explicit goals of these programs. In new research, we study gender equity in the Bhamashah Swasthya Bima Yojana (BSBY)1 health insurance program, which was launched in the state of Rajasthan in 2015, and is similar in design to the national Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PMJAY).

Our starting point is a dataset of insurance claims filed for all 4.2 million hospital visits between 2015 and 2019, including patient age, gender, residence address, hospital visited, dates of admission and discharge, and service(s) received. We geo-coded hospital locations and patient addresses, which allowed us to calculate proximity to hospitals and the distance traveled for every hospital visit. Finally, we linked the insurance data to the 2011 Census and data on three rounds of village-level (gram panchayat) elections. To our knowledge, the dataset we compiled from these various sources is the first dataset of its type in India and allows us to study care-seeking under insurance with unusual granularity.

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Stanford University researchers' study of Bhamashah Swasthya Bima Yojana reveals that just expanding geographical access and reducing the cost of healthcare won't reduce gender disparity.

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Using administrative data on over 4 million hospital visits, we document striking gender disparities within a government health insurance program that entitles 46 million poor individuals to free hospital care in Rajasthan, India. Females account for only 33% of hospital visits among children and 43% among the elderly. These shares are lower for more expensive types of care, and far lower than sex differences in illness prevalence can explain. Almost two-thirds of non-childbirth spending is on males. We combine these data with patient survey, census, and electoral data to show that 1) the program is unable to fully offset the costs of care-seeking, which results in disparities in hospital utilization because some households are willing to allocate more resources to male than female health; 2) lowering costs does not reduce disparities, because males benefit as much as females do; and 3) long-term exposure to village-level female leaders reduces the gender gap in utilization, but effects are modest and limited to girls and young women. In the presence of gender bias, increasing access to and subsidizing social services may increase levels of female utilization but fail to address gender inequalities without actions that specifically target females.

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Gender Disparities in Utilization of Government Health Insurance in India
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National Bureau of Economic Research
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Radhika Jain
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Working Paper 28972
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China’s national health reforms over the past two decades have brought the system closer to the modern, safe, reliable, and accessible health system that is commensurate with China’s dramatic economic growth, improvement in living standards, and high hopes for the next generation.

China’s national health reforms of 2009—continuing many reforms undertaken since SARS (2003)—consolidated a system of social health insurance covering the entire population for basic health services, contributing to a surge in healthcare utilization while reducing out-of-pocket costs to patients – which declined from 56% to 28% of total health expenditures between 2003 and 2017. An expanded basic public health service package, funded by per capita government budget allocations that include a higher central government subsidy for lower-income provinces, provides basic population health services to all Chinese. Now the governance structure consolidates the purchaser role for social health insurance schemes under the National Healthcare Security Administration, with most other health sector functions under the National Health Commission. China’s world-leading technological prowess in multiple fields spanning digital commerce to artificial intelligence—and accompanying innovative business models such as WeDoctor that have not yet been fully integrated into the health system—hold promise for supporting higher quality and more convenient healthcare for China’s 1.4 billion.

However, many challenges remain, from dealing with COVID-19 and its aftermath to other lingering challenges, from promoting healthy aging to the political economy of addressing patient-provider tensions, changing provider payment to promote “value” rather than volume, and deciding which new medical therapies qualify as “basic” for the basic medical insurance schemes. To make China’s investments in universal health coverage and the accompanying rapid medical spending growth sustainable in the longer run, policies need to help the most vulnerable avoid illness-induced poverty, increase health system efficiency, strengthen primary care, and reform provider payment systems.

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Testimony before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission
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Karen Eggleston
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Noa Ronkin
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Shorenstein APARC is pleased to share that Radhika Jain, our 2019-22 Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, is the recipient of the inaugural Adam Wagstaff Award for Outstanding Research on the Economics of Healthcare Financing and Delivery in Low- and middle-Income Countries. Hosted by the International Health Economics Association (iHEA), the award recognizes Jain’s excellent paper, "Private Hospital Behavior Under Government Health Insurance in India." She received the award on July 13 at a special session of the iHEA 2021 Congress.

Jain is a health economist working on public health policy in India. Her research focuses on the role of the private sector in the country’s health system, frictions in health care markets, socioeconomic and gender inequality, and health policy design. Her award-winning paper provides the first large-scale evidence on the behavior of private hospitals within public health insurance programs in India. In a major policy shift away from direct public provision of health care, the Indian government has been expanding health insurance programs that contract private hospitals for service delivery and pay them at fixed rates for services. Until now, however, there has been little empirical evidence on the behavior of private hospitals within these programs. 

Earlier this year, Jain presented the results of her study as part of the Asia Health Policy Program’s 2020-21 colloquium series, "Health, Medicine, and Longevity: Exploring Public and Private Roles.” Watch the conversation here:

For her research, Jain used over 1.6 million insurance claims, 20,000 patient surveys, and a policy-induced natural experiment that changed hospital reimbursement rates. Her study reveals that private hospitals in India engage in coding manipulation to increase revenues at government expense and charge patients out-of-pocket for care against program rules. As a result, almost half of all patients pay for care that should be free, and these payments constitute a 35% markup over the price the government pays. The charges decrease if reimbursement rates increase, but hospitals capture approximately half the increased reimbursements.

Jain's findings indicate that hospitals exploit market frictions and poor program enforcement to capture a substantial share of the public subsidy as profit. “In contexts of weak oversight,” she writes, “profit-motivated private agents systematically flout program rules to increase their revenues at considerable expense to the government and patients.”

She also finds, however, that hospital non-compliance partially compensates for prices set too low to meet the participation constraints of agents. Reimbursement rates, says Jain, are a significant policy lever that drives agent behavior, and simply increasing monitoring without appropriate price-setting may increase compliance but decrease service provision.

Jain’s research shows that market structure — a factor rarely taken into account in social policy design in lower-income contexts — can affect the extent to which public subsidies benefit citizens. Her findings provide broader insights into contracting the private sector for delivering health and other social services in settings with limited institutional capacity for monitoring and optimal price-setting.

On our podcast, Jain discusses her efforts to develop measures that improve how health systems serve vulnerable populations and her collaborative research with Stanford development economist Pascaline Dupas on how India's COVID-19 lockdown affected access to non-COVID-related health care and outcomes. Listen here:

The Adam Wagstaff Award honors the legacy of the late Adam Wagstaff, who was a research manager in the Development Research Group of the World Bank and former president of iHEA, and celebrates his lifelong commitment to improving healthcare financing and delivery and promoting equity in low- and middle-income countries. The award also contributes to iHEA’s efforts to promote excellence in health economics globally and advance internationalization through greater inclusion of low- and middle-income country researchers.

Congratulations, Dr. Jain, on this well-deserved honor!

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[Left] Radhika Jain, [Right] Postdoc Spotlight, Radhika Jain, Asia Health Policy Program
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Jain is the recipient of the inaugural Adam Wagstaff Award for Outstanding Research on the Economics of Healthcare Financing and Delivery in Low- and middle-Income Countries. Her award-winning paper provides the first large-scale evidence on the behavior of private hospitals within public health insurance in India.

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