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George Krompacky
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Telemedicine has faced an uphill battle in South Korea and in fact, under the nation’s Medical Services Act, it is currently prohibited, a result of opposition from the medical community and other stakeholders. However, during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, the South Korean government temporarily allowed for prescriptions and counseling by phone, which gave investigators the opportunity to examine patient preferences toward the service. 

It has been demonstrated that for consultations on chronic diseases—diabetes, hypertension, and heart disease—telemedicine is effectively equal to in-person visits, and moreover is convenient. Previous studies have looked at patient attitudes toward telemedicine but not many have used the COVID-19 pandemic as a backdrop. 

A new study, published in the Asia Pacific Journal of Public Health, helps to address this knowledge gap. The researchers focused on patients with the chronic diseases of diabetes and hypertension in South Korea and asked them about their preferences for telemedicine versus in-person care, including under different levels of recommended social distancing.

The co-authors of the study are Karen Eggleston, director of the Asia Health Policy Program at Shorenstein APARC; Annie Chang, ’21, MS ’22, currently an MD candidate at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai in New York City, who started the project as a Stanford student; Richard Liang, MD/PhD candidate at Stanford, and Daejung Kim of the Korea Institute for Health and Social Affairs.

The data was collected from a larger study on the impacts of the pandemic on the management of chronic disease in a number of Asian countries.

Chang notes that her research with Eggleston began after taking her course Health and Healthcare Systems in East Asia: “As a Korean American, I was naturally interested in learning more about South Korea and its healthcare system. I had the opportunity to work with Dr. Eggleston during the COVID-19 pandemic, when telemedicine usage surged globally.”

The study findings indicate that respondents did not have a strong preference for telemedicine services during the COVID-19 pandemic. This could be attributed to the prohibition of such services outside of the pandemic, to unfamiliarity with the technology, or to other factors.

However, the results show that attitudes toward telemedicine differed among demographic segments: younger patients, who tend to be more familiar with new technologies, had a higher preference for telemedicine, as did males (who are more likely to be employed, restricting their time for in-person visits), and those whose access to healthcare was more restricted.

This research carries significant policy implications concerning the advancement of telemedicine in South Korea and elsewhere. To make better use of telemedicine, policymakers should raise awareness of and familiarity with the services, especially among older populations who are less comfortable with new technologies. There is also a need to develop basic guidelines for telemedicine practices like reimbursement and data security to encourage the adoption of telemedicine as a viable alternative to in-person consultations. 

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Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, Jianan Yang
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Pouring multi-colored capsule pills from plastic drug bottle. Antibiotic drug overuse concept.
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How Social-Health Nudges Can Help Combat Antibiotic Resistance

A new study by researchers including APARC's Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow Dr. Jianan Yang reveals that text messages providing information on the harmful social impacts of antibiotic resistance help reduce antibiotics purchase, identifying a cost-effective means of addressing the risks of antibiotics misuse and overuse.
How Social-Health Nudges Can Help Combat Antibiotic Resistance
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A new study, co-authored by Asia Health Policy Director Karen Eggleston, investigated preferences for telemedicine services for chronic disease care in South Korea during the COVID-19 pandemic and found that preferences differed according to patient demographics.

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Noa Ronkin
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This announcement was updated on October 6, 2023, to reflect the addition of two new fellowship offerings focused on contemporary Taiwan.


The Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) is pleased to invite applications for a suite of fellowships in contemporary Asia studies to begin fall quarter 2024.

The Center offers postdoctoral fellowships that promote multidisciplinary research on Asia-focused health policy; contemporary Japan; contemporary Asia broadly defined; postdoctoral fellowships and visiting scholar positions as part of the new Stanford Next Asia Policy Lab; and a fellowship for experts on Southeast Asia. Learn more about each opportunity and its eligibility and specific application requirements:

Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellowship

Hosted by the Asia Health Policy Program at APARC, the fellowship is awarded annually to one recent PhD undertaking original research on contemporary health or healthcare policy of high relevance to countries in the Asia-Pacific region, especially developing countries. Appointments are for one year beginning in fall quarter 2024. The application deadline is December 1, 2023.

Postdoctoral Fellowship on Contemporary Japan

Hosted by the Japan Program at APARC, the fellowship supports research on contemporary Japan in a broad range of disciplines including political science, economics, sociology, law, policy studies, and international relations. Appointments are for one year beginning in fall quarter 2024. The application deadline is December 1, 2023.  
 

Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellowship on Contemporary Asia

APARC offers two postdoctoral fellowship positions to junior scholars for research and writing on contemporary Asia. The primary research areas focus on political, economic, or social change in the Asia-Pacific region (including Northeast, Southeast, and South Asia), or international relations and international political economy in the region. Appointments are for one year beginning in fall quarter 2024. The application deadline is December 1, 2023.  
 

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The Center offers a suite of fellowships for Asia researchers to begin in fall quarter 2024. These include postdoctoral fellowships on Asia-focused health policy, contemporary Japan, and the Asia-Pacific region, postdoctoral fellowships and visiting scholar positions with the Stanford Next Asia Policy Lab, and fellowships for experts on Southeast Asia.

Authors
Noa Ronkin
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The rise of antibiotic resistance is a global public health issue that poses a severe threat to the effectiveness of modern medicine. Antibiotic resistance can lead to prolonged hospital stays, increased mortality rates, and higher medical costs. The World Health Organization warns that there are not enough new antibacterial treatments in development to keep up with the growing resistance. The need to regulate the use of antibiotics is, therefore, critical. But Patients' lack of information intensifies the problem: misconceptions about antibiotics are prevalent and exacerbate unnecessary drug use.

In response to this challenge, a team of researchers, including Dr. Jianan Yang, a 2022-23 Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow at APARC, conducted a study to test the efficacy of informing patients directly of the risks of antibiotics overuse. In partnership with a community healthcare center in China, which is among the countries with the highest per capita usage of antibiotics, the researchers designed a randomized controlled trial to evaluate whether the provision of information on the impacts of antibiotic resistance via text messages could induce behavioral changes and reduce the unnecessary use of antibiotics. The results of the study, published in the Journal of Development Economics, suggest that social-health messaging could be a powerful tool in addressing antibiotics overuse as well as a variety of public health challenges with externalities.


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The researchers’ findings show that patients who received text messages highlighting the threat of antibiotic resistance to society reduced their antibiotics purchases by 17% relative to the control group. The reduction did not come at the cost of a decline in other observed dimensions of healthcare utilization, including the number of visits, examination and service spending, and the purchase of other medicines.

The study also reveals that messages with information on the social impacts of antibiotic resistance had a more pronounced effect than those with information on the harmful consequences for individual patients: text messages that emphasized the threats of antibiotics overuse to recipients’ own health showed negligible effects on antibiotics purchases.

The results provide evidence that prosocial messaging can have a substantial impact on health-related behavior and identify a cost-effective, low-touch intervention means of addressing concerns over antibiotics misuse and overuse. The rapid increase in mobile phone penetration makes text messaging easily scalable, highly inclusive, and inexpensive to implement public health interventions. While the study focused on antibiotic use in China, the findings may have broader implications for public health interventions across different countries and cultures.

The study results also suggest that social-health messaging could be an effective tool to address public health challenges with externalities beyond antibiotic resistance, such as low vaccination rates. For example, many governments have been attempting to increase COVID-19 vaccination rates among their populations. People might be more willing to act if they receive relevant information on the social impacts of their behavior from an institution that they trust.

Future studies that evaluate the effectiveness of this approach in different institutional contexts and their welfare implications with richer clinical data would be valuable.

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A figure dressed as a medical personnel holding a stethoscope and a blurry image of the South Korean flag in the background.
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How South Korea Can Become a Global Pioneer in Productivity of Health Spending

Research by Stanford health economist Karen Eggleston, the director of APARC's Asia Health Policy Program, offers evidence on the link between medical spending and health outcomes in South Korea, showing how the country can benefit from developing a “satellite account for health” to promote high-value innovations for longer, healthier lives.
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New Study Shows Health and Economic Benefits of Controlling Diabetes Risk Factors in Chinese Adults

Using recent data from the China Chronic Disease and Nutrition Surveillance survey and applying the Chinese Hong Kong Integrated Modelling and Evaluation microsimulation model, a new study co-authored by APARC's Karen Eggleston found that substantial health improvements and medical savings could be achieved in China by better control of glycemia and blood pressure, two modifiable risk factors for diabetes.
New Study Shows Health and Economic Benefits of Controlling Diabetes Risk Factors in Chinese Adults
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A new study by researchers including APARC's Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow Dr. Jianan Yang reveals that text messages providing information on the harmful social impacts of antibiotic resistance help reduce antibiotics purchase, identifying a cost-effective means of addressing the risks of antibiotics misuse and overuse.

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The authors study two interventions in Beijing, China, that provide patients with information on antibiotic resistance via text message to discourage the overuse of antibiotics. The messages were sent once a month for five months. One intervention emphasizes the threat to the recipient's own health and is found to have negligible effects. The other intervention, which highlights the overall threat to society, reduces antibiotics purchases by 17% in dosage without discouraging healthcare visits and other medicine purchases. The results demonstrate that prosocial messaging can have the potential to address public health issues that require collective action.

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Experimental Evidence Based on Antibiotics Purchases

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Journal of Development Economics
Authors
Daixin He
Fangwen Lu
Jianan Yang
Authors
Noa Ronkin
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Do increases in medical spending improve health outcomes? To answer this question, analysts need to quantify the net value of medical spending and measure the productivity of medical care with the output of improvement in survival and quality of life, thereby deducing for what medical conditions the “bang for the buck” is greatest and for what conditions spending outstrips gains in health improvement.

This condition-specific, quality-adjusted net value approach to health spending is known as a “satellite account for health” because it “orbits around” the national income and product accounts that include aggregate health spending to provide a clearer picture of productivity in the health sector. Thus far, researchers have applied this account to the U.S. health sector only, but it would be highly beneficial for many economies. One notable beneficiary would be South Korea, one of the most rapidly aging societies globally. Now new research by Karen Eggleston, the director of APARC’s Asia Health Policy Program, studies the link between medical spending and health outcomes in South Korea, providing evidence on the productivity of medical spending over recent decades.

The research, published by the East-West Center, develops an estimate of the net value of Korean medical spending, which has outpaced most other countries in recent decades. To generate this estimate, Eggleston compares the gains in life expectancy at birth to the increases in medical spending for 2000–2019. Data comes from Korean lifetables and medical expenditures per capita, available from the Korean Statistical Information Services.


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Korea can develop an accurate measure of medical productivity and a more accurate measure of overall economic productivity while becoming a global pioneer of “health satellite accounts” for overall populations.
Karen Eggleston

Eggleston shows that, even with the most conservative assumptions ($50,000 per life-year and only 10 percent of health gains due to medical care), the net value of Korean medical spending is positive and substantial. Korean life expectancy at birth increased from 76 in 2000 to 83.3 in 2019, while lifetime medical spending increased by over $19,000. The value of 7.3 additional years of life far outweighs even this rapid increase in spending, implying substantial productivity growth in Korea’s health sector.

Moreover, evidence on condition-specific spending changes and health improvements suggests that Korea’s rapid spending increases yield significant net value. Eggleston’s research indicates that improvements in survival for key conditions afflicting Koreans, such as stroke and cancer, point to productivity gains. “Korea could be a pioneer in developing a national health account that accurately measures net value by medical condition,” she writes.

Condition-specific metrics of health gain per won spent on treatment can help to guide the allocation of investments to promote longer, healthier lives. In the future, analysts could also link condition-specific improvements in survival and morbidity to earnings. Such linkage would particularly benefit South Korea, where focusing on the productivity of older adult employment is crucial given its high labor force participation and relatively low income of older Koreans.

Eggleston advocates for the Korean government to develop a national satellite account for health that can provide valuable evidence for prioritizing investments to address the country’s most pressing health challenges so that productivity improvement will contribute to longer, healthier lives. “By linking National Health Insurance and health outcome data, Korea could develop an accurate measure of medical productivity and a more accurate measure of overall economic productivity, while pioneering development of ‘health satellite accounts’ for overall populations,” Eggleston argues.

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New Study Shows Health and Economic Benefits of Controlling Diabetes Risk Factors in Chinese Adults

Using recent data from the China Chronic Disease and Nutrition Surveillance survey and applying the Chinese Hong Kong Integrated Modelling and Evaluation microsimulation model, a new study co-authored by APARC's Karen Eggleston found that substantial health improvements and medical savings could be achieved in China by better control of glycemia and blood pressure, two modifiable risk factors for diabetes.
New Study Shows Health and Economic Benefits of Controlling Diabetes Risk Factors in Chinese Adults
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Most Japanese Support Same-Sex Marriage, New Public Opinion Survey Finds
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Research by Stanford health economist Karen Eggleston, the director of APARC's Asia Health Policy Program, offers evidence on the link between medical spending and health outcomes in South Korea, showing how the country can benefit from developing a “satellite account for health” to promote high-value innovations for longer, healthier lives.

Paragraphs

Objective

Given the importance of continuous family physician (FP) care in the management of hypertension, we explored the effects of such care among hypertensive patients in China, a country where such care is generally underutilized. We examined the longitudinal association between the use and continuity of FP services and health outcomes including blood pressure (BP) control rate, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP).

Methods

We conducted a population-based cohort study using data from the retrospective regional electronic health record database in Xiamen City, China. The study considered 18,119 hypertensive patients aged over 18 years who had at least two visits to a health center in the preceding 12 months. The generalized estimating equation model was adopted to estimate the longitudinal association between FP service utilization and health outcomes.

Results

Hypertensive patients treated by their own FPs had a higher BP control rate (OR = 1.14, 95% CI: 1.02–1.28) and lower DBP (−0.36 mmHg, 95% CI: −0.52 to −0.20) than those without a FP or those with a FP but treated by a general community physician (GCP). Compared with hypertensive patients treated exclusively by GCPs, patients treated continuously and exclusively by a FP were 45% more likely to have their BP under control (OR = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.32–1.60), and their SBP and DBP were lower by 0.6 mmHg (95% CI: −0.78 to −0.39) and 0.6 mmHg (95% CI: −0.79 to −0.47), respectively.

Conclusions

Hypertensive patients continuously treated by their own FPs performed better in terms of BP control rate, SBP and DBP values. In addition, the number and continuity of FP visits were associated with better BP control.

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A Population-Based Retrospective Cohort Study

Journal Publisher
Journal of Health Services Research & Policy
Authors
Rize Jing
Karen Eggleston
Xiaozhen Lai
Hai Fang
Authors
George Krompacky
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The incidence of diabetes has risen sharply in China from 1% in 1980 to 12.8% in 2017, and it is expected to continue to rise, despite the disease being one of four targeted by the Chinese government in its Healthy China Action Plan 2019-2030. Diabetes takes a high toll, both economically and in terms of healthy years of life. The disease is a major cause of strokes, heart attacks, blindness, and lower limb amputations. Although diabetes is on the rise, treatment and control remain relatively low in China, especially in rural areas.

In a new paper in The Lancet Regional Health—Western Pacific, a research team, which included APARC's Asia Health Policy Program Director Karen Eggleston, examined how improved control of glycemia and blood pressure, two modifiable risk factors for diabetes, could improve health outcomes in China. They performed a microsimulation analysis of more than 20,000 Chinese adults with diabetes, with data taken from the China Chronic Disease and Nutrition Surveillance survey (CCDNS), looking at the increased control of glycemia and blood pressure in 31 different scenarios.


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Similar studies had previously relied upon simulated risk factor levels that did not accurately reflect a representative Chinese population or used non-Asian models that have been known to over-predict medical complications in Chinese populations. The CCDNS data the authors used in their study was collected in 2018-19 from national disease surveillance points in mainland China, and their microsimulation used the CHIME (Chinese Hong Kong Integrated Modelling and Evaluation) model, which has been validated in East Asian populations.

Based on the CCDNS data, only one in five (20.1%) of people with diabetes in China had achieved optimal control of both glycemia and blood pressure in 2018-19. The study modeled control rates of 70%, 80%, and 100% to see the effects on the population’s health. The authors found that control of the two risk factors in people with type 2 diabetes was associated with considerable improvement in health, a reduced number of early deaths, and savings in medical costs. For example, if China were to achieve 70% control of these risk factors (based on current WHO/Chinese Diabetes Society targets for blood glucose and blood pressure), deaths before age 70 could be cut by 7.1% and medical costs by 14.9% over the next 10 years.

The study provides more impetus for China to reach its control targets outlined in the Healthy China plan, which aims for the nation to reach by 2030 health indicator performance comparable to high-income countries like the United States. The authors demonstrate that the health and economic burdens associated with diabetes can be substantially reduced or avoided if glycemia and blood pressure are better regulated in the Chinese population.

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Karen Eggleston

Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Director of the Asia Health Policy Program
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Using recent data from the China Chronic Disease and Nutrition Surveillance survey and applying the Chinese Hong Kong Integrated Modelling and Evaluation microsimulation model, a new study co-authored by APARC's Karen Eggleston found that substantial health improvements and medical savings could be achieved in China by better control of glycemia and blood pressure, two modifiable risk factors for diabetes.

Paragraphs

Background

The prevalence of diabetes has risen sharply in China. Improving modifiable risk factors such as glycaemia and blood pressure could substantially reduce disease burden and treatment costs to achieve a healthier China by 2030.

Methods

We used a nationally representative population-based survey of adults with diabetes in 31 provinces in mainland China to assess the prevalence of risk factor control. We adopted a microsimulation approach to estimate the impact of improved control of blood pressure and glycaemia on mortality, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and healthcare cost. We applied the validated CHIME diabetes outcomes model over a 10-year time horizon. Baseline scenario of status quo was evaluated against alternative strategies based on World Health Organization and Chinese Diabetes Society guidelines.

Findings

Among 24,319 survey participants with diabetes (age 30–70), 69.1% (95% CI: 67.7–70.5) achieved optimal diabetes control (HbA1c <7% [53 mmol/mol]), 27.7% [26.1–29.3] achieved blood pressure control (<130/80 mmHg) and 20.1% (18.6–21.6) achieved both targets. Achieving 70% control rate for people with diabetes could reduce deaths before age 70 by 7.1% (5.7–8.7), reduce medical costs by 14.9% (12.3–18.0), and gain 50.4 QALYs (44.8–56.0) per 1000 people over 10 years compared to the baseline status quo. The largest health gains were for strategies including strict blood pressure control of 130/80 mmHg, particularly in rural areas.

Interpretation

Based on a nationally representative survey, few adults with diabetes in China achieved optimal control of glycaemia and blood pressure. Substantial health gains and economic savings are potentially achievable with better risk factor control especially in rural settings.

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A Microsimulation Modelling Study

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The Lancet Regional Health - Western Pacific
Authors
Jianchao Quan
Zhenping Zhao
Limin Wang
Carmen S. Ng
Harley H. Y. Kwok
Harley H. Y. Kwok
Mei Zhang
Sunyue Zhou
Jiaxi Ye
Xin Jiong Ong
Robyn Ma
Gabriel M. Leung
Karen Eggleston
Maigeng Zhou
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100690
Authors
Noa Ronkin
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The Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) is pleased to invite applications for a suite of fellowships in contemporary Asia studies to begin fall quarter 2023.

The Center offers postdoctoral fellowships that promote multidisciplinary research on contemporary Japan and contemporary Asia broadly defined, inaugural postdoctoral fellowships and visiting scholar positions as part of the newly launched Stanford Next Asia Policy Lab, and a fellowship for experts on Southeast Asia. Learn more about each opportunity and its eligibility and specific application requirements:

Postdoctoral Fellowship on Contemporary Japan

Hosted by the Japan Program at APARC, the fellowship supports research on contemporary Japan in a broad range of disciplines including political science, economics, sociology, law, policy studies, and international relations. Appointments are for one year beginning in fall quarter 2023. The application deadline is December 1, 2022.
 

Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellowship on Contemporary Asia

APARC offers two postdoctoral fellowship positions to junior scholars for research and writing on contemporary Asia. The primary research areas focus on political, economic, or social change in the Asia-Pacific region (including Northeast, Southeast, and South Asia), or international relations and international political economy in the region. Appointments are for one year beginning in fall quarter 2023. The application deadline is December 1, 2022.
 

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The Center offers a suite of fellowships for Asia researchers to begin fall quarter 2023. These include postdoctoral fellowships on contemporary Japan and the Asia-Pacific region, inaugural postdoctoral fellowships and visiting scholar positions with the newly launched Stanford Next Asia Policy Lab, and fellowships for experts on Southeast Asia.

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This press release was originally published by the University of Tokyo. It discusses a new study, published by Lancet Public Health and co-authored by researchers from the University of Tokyo along with FSI Senior Fellow Karen Eggleston, director of the Asia Health Policy Program at APARC, and Jay Bhattacharya, Professor of Health Policy and director of the Center for Demography and Economics of Health and Aging at Stanford.


A new detailed microsimulation, using a database of 40 million people, has examined the future of Japan’s aging population up to 2043. It projects that more people will live longer, and that overall years spent living with dementia will decrease. However, the model highlighted the diversity of impacts on different segments of the population, as Japanese women with a less than high school education aged 75 and over may be disproportionately affected by both dementia and frailty. Better understanding where health gaps like this exist can help inform public health planning, to minimize future economic costs and support those most in need.

Taking care of the older members of society is a common concern around the world. Japan is famous for its long-lived residents, the number of which continues to rise. In 2020, almost 30% of the Japanese population was aged 65 years or older, and this age group is not projected to peak until 2034. Caring for people with age-related ailments, such as dementia and frailty, poses a challenge both to individuals and public health care systems.

Microsimulation models, which are computer models that can provide detailed analysis on an individual basis, are currently used to project future population health in some countries, such as the U.K. and the U.S. Professor Hideki Hashimoto and researchers at the University of Tokyo, along with researchers from Stanford University in the U.S., wanted to create a new microsimulation model for Japan, which would take into account more diverse conditions than had been considered before.

“We developed a new Japanese microsimulation model that accounts for 13 chronic conditions (including heart disease, stroke, diabetes, depression and dependency), as well as frailty and dementia,” explained Hashimoto. “Using an ultralarge data system, we were able to ‘follow’ a virtual cohort of more than 40 million people aged 60 and over from 2016 to 2043.”

According to Hashimoto, projections of aging in Japan usually rely on the “average” status of older people and so don’t consider the diversity of the population. “I believe that problems of aging are a matter of health gaps over the course of people’s lives,” he said. “Our projection brings attention to a widening health gap among older people. It highlighted that women with a less than high school education aged 75 or over are more likely to be affected.”

Identifying where health gaps like this exist could be used to better inform public policy, not only about health care but other influential aspects of life. “Japan’s case may suggest that improvement in educational attainment, as well as population health, could be a key to making a healthier and more manageable aging society,” said Hashimoto.

Positively, this study shows hope for a future where many people live longer and more healthy lives. “People might believe that an increase in cases of dementia is inescapable, given population aging. However, in this study we found that in Japan, despite an aging population, the number of people with dementia is expected to decrease over the next two decades,” said Hashimoto. “Population aging does not necessarily mean an increase of social burden for care, but it does bring a diversity of problems that requires careful study and science-based policy attention, to close the health gap.”

Karen Eggleston 4X4

Karen Eggleston

Senior Fellow at FSI and Director of the Asia Health Policy Program, Shorenstein APARC
Full biography

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Education Level Will Widen Disparity in Health Outcomes of the Future Elderly Population, New Study Projects

In the first study to compare the progression of educational disparities in disability across two rapidly aging Asian societies, APARC coauthors Cynthia Chen and Karen Eggleston project that from 2015 to 2050, elders with high educational attainment will have a lower prevalence of functional disability and chronic conditions compared to elderly with low educational attainment.
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New Cross-Country Study Underscores the Importance of Health Workforce Development and Socioeconomic Factors in Affecting Health Outcomes

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COVID-19 Disproportionately Affected Marginalized and Rural Populations in Asia, New Study Shows
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A new microsimulation projects that over the next 20 years, Japanese people will live longer without dementia, but older women with a less than high school education will benefit less than men.

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