Research Presentations (3 of 3) - Kakemizu, Koda, Li and Waseda
In this session of the Shorenstein APARC Corporate Affiliate Visiting Fellows Research Presentations, the following will be presented:
Yasunori Kakemizu, "Strategy of CATV in the Competitive TV Market: Open vs. Closed Models"
After prospering for more than a half-century in the United States, the cable industry is taking on a new competitor, Over-The-Top providers (OTT). OTT providers are a product of the information technology revolution that emerged from the invention of Internet protocol of the late 20th century. In his research presentation, Kakemizu tries to answer the question: What is the strategy of the cable industry in the United States and what will happen to it in the near future? Kakemizu analyzes the current threat and opportunity facing cable television companies, focusing on the strategies against OTT, such as Netflix and Hulu.
Hideaki Koda, "Driving the Electric Vehicle Forward: Reshaping Car Sharing with EV and ICT"
Should the all-electric vehicle challenge the traditional car head-on in the mainstream market? The answer may be "no" if you look back on the history of disruptive innovations. An innovative technology at its dawn often succeeds first in a smaller, untapped market where its strengths shine and its weaknesses are shadowed (or even turned into strengths). It then enters the mainstream market over time by achieving more maturity, as typically shown in the computer market. Then where is the market for the electric vehicle? It might be car sharing, which is thought to be a potentially large market. Koda discusses how to combine electric vehicles and car sharing with information and communications technology (e.g. Big Data processing) to achieve a win-win solution for all by taking advantage of the unique characteristics of the electric vehicle.
Haiming Li, "Competing Strategies for China's Large Commercial Banks"
Competing strategies are critical to China's large commercial banks, as they determine future direction of development for these banks. Research shows that following five strategies, namely a strategy for lead changes, a strategy for globalization, a strategy for diversification, a strategy for systematic risk management, as well as a strategy for establishing a decision-making support system, need to be adapted. Coordinated implementation of these strategies will enhance the competitiveness of China's large commercial banks both home and abroad.
Yoshimasa Waseda, "Nantotechnolgoy for Fuel Cells: The Impact and Analysis of the Status Using Patent Information"
Judging from the need to reduce increasing dangers of future global climate change, clean energy has become more important and is a key issue for future development. Fuel cells are a candidate for achieving clean energy in the future although they currently have some disadvantages. Many researchers study the application of nanotechnology for fuel cells to solve these disadvantages using the unique phenomena of nanomaterials. In this presentation, Waseda discusses the impact of nanotechnology for fuel cells and analyzes the status of each region using patent information.
Philippines Conference Room
Yasunori Kakemizu
Yasunori Kakemizu is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center for 2011–12. Kakemizu has more than 12 years of experience in media markets working for Sumitomo Corporation, one of Japan's major trading and investment conglomerates. Most recently, Kakemizu worked for Jupiter Telecommunications Co., Ltd. (one of Sumitomo Corporation's affiliated companies), and was responsible for service and business development.
Kakemizu received his bachelor's and master's degree in engineering science from Osaka University.
Hideaki Koda
Hideaki Koda is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he had been working at Mitsubishi Electric Corporation for 15 years. Following the national policy called e-Japan Strategy, he had been engaged in designing, developing and deploying information systems for the Japanese Government and the Supreme Court of Japan, as well as coordinating with clients, engineers and vendors as a project manager. He obtained his bachelor's and master's degrees in Electric Engineering from Waseda University.
Haiming Li
Haiming Li is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center for 2011–12.
Yoshimasa Waseda
Yoshimasa Waseda is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he has worked for the Japan Patent Office (JPO) since 1999. He has worked as a patent examiner, handling patent applications in the field of semiconductor device manufacturing. In 2010, he was in charge of policy planning of information searching. He obtained his BS and MS in Metallurgy and Ceramics Science from Tokyo Institute of Technology.
Research Presentations (2 of 3) - Fukai, Hirano, Kamimai and Miyashita
Research Presentations (2 of 3) - Fukai, Hirano, Kamimai and Miyashita
Research Presentations (2 of 3) - Fukai, Hirano, Kamimai and Miyashita
In this session of the Shorenstein APARC Corporate Affiliate Visiting Fellows Research Presentations, the following will be presented:
Kazuma Fukai, "Current Situation of Shale Gas Revolution and its Impact on the U.S. and Japan"
Shale gas is called a “game changer”. According to the Energy Information Administration, shale gas will be the major source of incremental U.S. natural gas supply, increasing its share of production from 23% in 2010 to 49% in 2035. President Obama expressed even as the U.S. develops next generation energy technologies, the U.S will continue to rely on oil and gas. Due to the shale gas boom, the current price of natural gas (U.S. Henry Hub) is declining, about 1/8 of the peak price in 2005. Given the importance of environmental issues and efficiency, combined with depressed natural gas prices, the demand for natural gas in the power sector will grow rapidly. In Japan, the unprecedented nuclear disaster at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant affected energy policy dramatically. While the future of nuclear power in Japan is still unclear, natural gas power plants would be one of the most important energy resources to compensate for the loss of nuclear power plants as a realistic and reliable short and middle term approach. If the abundance of natural gas in the U.S. flows to Japan, it would contribute to a choice of supplier and different price formula for Japan. Fukai will present information based on the current state of shale drilling in the U.S., environmental issues, and interviews with many key experts and professors in shale gas as well as his experience at Kansai Electric Power Company.
Katsunori Hirano, "Learning from Sustainable Energy Financing Models Operating in the U.S. Market: A Study for Japan's Clean and Safe Energy Future after Fukushima"
The Fukushima meltdown, which followed a devastating natural disaster in March 2011, presented the Japanese citizenry clear evidence that the way to meet their energy needs had not been sustainable. They have found the value of improving their resilience and security by their own initiative, intelligence, and foresight. The growth in the energy efficiency and renewable energy market is the defining feature of Japan’s energy future.
A substantial number of financing models are being implemented to help encourage investment in energy efficiency improvements and renewable energy deployments in the United States. In his research, Hirano tries to identify the best model operating in the U.S. market to provide financing opportunities for sustainable energy. The local authorities in Japan can swiftly and flexibly apply this model for local households and businesses in their jurisdiction.
Yuji Kamimai, "A New Business Model for the Media Industry"
For a long time, it has been said that media is the mirror of the times we live in. In his research, Kamimai tries to understand the ascent of and vast changes of media through a historical backdrop to help explain and recognize new service and technological innovation in the Silicon Valley. Additionally, he examines some trends other than media that could help provide a deeper understanding. From the rise of media and the latest IT business model, Kamimai learns what is important for the media to do, and explains what the next action steps are.
Masami Miyashita, "A Study about the Ecosystem that Creates and Develops Global Start-ups"
Innovation is critical to economic growth, and entrepreneurship and startups are pivotal ingredients of innovation. After Japan’s economic bubble bursting in 1990, there was much talk about the lack of entrepreneurship in Japan as a driver of creative destruction and economic revival. The “Silicon Valley model” of entrepreneurship was heavily studied. Beginning in the late 1990s, the Japanese government rapidly developed institutional and social frameworks for startups in Japan. In the early 2000s, however, few Japanese startups were global in scale, and the presence in Silicon Valley of Japanese entrepreneurs and startup were still very limited. After the first decade of the 21st century, there are preliminary indications of a new wave of startups by Japanese entrepreneurs making inroads in Silicon Valley. Compared to other groups, such as Chinese or Indians, the number of Japanese entrepreneurs in Silicon Valley still remains miniscule. However, for the Japanese entrepreneurs to take advantage of the Silicon Valley entrepreneurial and innovation opportunities, lessons from the experiences and challenged faced by Japanese based in Silicon Valley are important. In his research, Miyashita provides some of the key factors that are feeding this new wave of startups.
Philippines Conference Room
Kazuma Fukai
Kazuma Fukai is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) for 2011–12. He has worked for Kansai Electric Power Company, Inc.'s Legal Department since 2003. His responsibilities included overseas transactions such as acquisitions of foreign companies, emission trading, and procurement of natural resources. Since 2010, Fukai has been engaged in the review of nuclear power plants and related systems in terms of the technical aspects and nuclear culture in the Nuclear Integrity Reform Department. Fukai graduated from Doshisha University in 2003 with a bachelor of law degree.
Katsunori Hirano
Katsunori Hirano is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) for 2011–12. He was born in Shizuoka prefecture, "the sunny side of Mount Fuji," and has worked for the Shizuoka Prefectural Government for nearly 20 years. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he served in multiple roles at the Shizuoka Prefectural Government, including environmental policy-making, regional diplomacy, and inbound tourism promotion. During his fellowship at Shorenstein APARC, his research will focus on a paradigm shift harmonized with ecosystems and nature for a nuclear-free sustainable future.
Hirano earned his bachelor's degree in law from Chuo University, Japan, and his master's degree of arts in urban affairs and public policy, with a concentration in energy and environmental policy, from the University of Delaware.
Yuji Kamimai
Yuji Kamimai is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he has worked at Sumitomo Corporation, one of the major trading and investment conglomerates in Japan for ten years. After joining Sumitomo, he has been engaged in management of some of Sumitomo's affiliated companies such as internet streaming channel and CATV operating company in media industries.
He graduated from Waseda University with a degree in Science and Engineering.
Masami Miyashita
Masami Miyashita is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he held positions at the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Japan (METI) for about 12 years, where he took charge of policy making. His latest position at METI was as deputy director for New Business Policy Office. He graduated from Tohoku University in Engineering.
Research Presentations (2 of 3) - Fukai, Hirano, Kamimai and Miyashita
In this session of the Shorenstein APARC Corporate Affiliate Visiting Fellows Research Presentations, the following will be presented:
Kazuma Fukai, "Current Situation of Shale Gas Revolution and its Impact on the U.S. and Japan"
Shale gas is called a “game changer”. According to the Energy Information Administration, shale gas will be the major source of incremental U.S. natural gas supply, increasing its share of production from 23% in 2010 to 49% in 2035. President Obama expressed even as the U.S. develops next generation energy technologies, the U.S will continue to rely on oil and gas. Due to the shale gas boom, the current price of natural gas (U.S. Henry Hub) is declining, about 1/8 of the peak price in 2005. Given the importance of environmental issues and efficiency, combined with depressed natural gas prices, the demand for natural gas in the power sector will grow rapidly. In Japan, the unprecedented nuclear disaster at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant affected energy policy dramatically. While the future of nuclear power in Japan is still unclear, natural gas power plants would be one of the most important energy resources to compensate for the loss of nuclear power plants as a realistic and reliable short and middle term approach. If the abundance of natural gas in the U.S. flows to Japan, it would contribute to a choice of supplier and different price formula for Japan. Fukai will present information based on the current state of shale drilling in the U.S., environmental issues, and interviews with many key experts and professors in shale gas as well as his experience at Kansai Electric Power Company.
Katsunori Hirano, "Learning from Sustainable Energy Financing Models Operating in the U.S. Market: A Sutdy for Japan's Clean and Safe Energy Future after Fukushima"
The Fukushima meltdown, which followed a devastating natural disaster in March 2011, presented the Japanese citizenry clear evidence that the way to meet their energy needs had not been sustainable. They have found the value of improving their resilience and security by their own initiative, intelligence, and foresight. The growth in the energy efficiency and renewable energy market is the defining feature of Japan’s energy future.
A substantial number of financing models are being implemented to help encourage investment in energy efficiency improvements and renewable energy deployments in the United States. In his research, Hirano tries to identify the best model operating in the U.S. market to provide financing opportunities for sustainable energy. The local authorities in Japan can swiftly and flexibly apply this model for local households and businesses in their jurisdiction.
Yuji Kamimai, "A New Business Model for the Media Industry"
For a long time, it has been said that media is the mirror of the times we live in. In his research, Kamimai tries to understand the ascent of and vast changes of media through a historical backdrop to help explain and recognize new service and technological innovation in the Silicon Valley. Additionally, he examines some trends other than media that could help provide a deeper understanding. From the rise of media and the latest IT business model, Kamimai learns what is important for the media to do, and explains what the next action steps are.
Masami Miyashita, "A Study about the Ecosystem that Creates and Develops Global Start-ups"
Innovation is critical to economic growth, and entrepreneurship and startups are pivotal ingredients of innovation. After Japan’s economic bubble bursting in 1990, there was much talk about the lack of entrepreneurship in Japan as a driver of creative destruction and economic revival. The “Silicon Valley model” of entrepreneurship was heavily studied. Beginning in the late 1990s, the Japanese government rapidly developed institutional and social frameworks for startups in Japan. In the early 2000s, however, few Japanese startups were global in scale, and the presence in Silicon Valley of Japanese entrepreneurs and startup were still very limited. After the first decade of the 21st century, there are preliminary indications of a new wave of startups by Japanese entrepreneurs making inroads in Silicon Valley. Compared to other groups, such as Chinese or Indians, the number of Japanese entrepreneurs in Silicon Valley still remains miniscule. However, for the Japanese entrepreneurs to take advantage of the Silicon Valley entrepreneurial and innovation opportunities, lessons from the experiences and challenged faced by Japanese based in Silicon Valley are important. In his research, Miyashita provides some of the key factors that are feeding this new wave of startups.
Philippines Conference Room
Kazuma Fukai
Kazuma Fukai is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) for 2011–12. He has worked for Kansai Electric Power Company, Inc.'s Legal Department since 2003. His responsibilities included overseas transactions such as acquisitions of foreign companies, emission trading, and procurement of natural resources. Since 2010, Fukai has been engaged in the review of nuclear power plants and related systems in terms of the technical aspects and nuclear culture in the Nuclear Integrity Reform Department. Fukai graduated from Doshisha University in 2003 with a bachelor of law degree.
Katsunori Hirano
Katsunori Hirano is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) for 2011–12. He was born in Shizuoka prefecture, "the sunny side of Mount Fuji," and has worked for the Shizuoka Prefectural Government for nearly 20 years. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he served in multiple roles at the Shizuoka Prefectural Government, including environmental policy-making, regional diplomacy, and inbound tourism promotion. During his fellowship at Shorenstein APARC, his research will focus on a paradigm shift harmonized with ecosystems and nature for a nuclear-free sustainable future.
Hirano earned his bachelor's degree in law from Chuo University, Japan, and his master's degree of arts in urban affairs and public policy, with a concentration in energy and environmental policy, from the University of Delaware.
Yuji Kamimai
Yuji Kamimai is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he has worked at Sumitomo Corporation, one of the major trading and investment conglomerates in Japan for ten years. After joining Sumitomo, he has been engaged in management of some of Sumitomo's affiliated companies such as internet streaming channel and CATV operating company in media industries.
He graduated from Waseda University with a degree in Science and Engineering.
Masami Miyashita
Masami Miyashita is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he held positions at the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry, Japan (METI) for about 12 years, where he took charge of policy making. His latest position at METI was as deputy director for New Business Policy Office. He graduated from Tohoku University in Engineering.
Research Presentations (1 of 3) - Aosaki, Pandya and Ramanathan
In this session of the Shorenstein APARC Corporate Affiliate Visiting Fellows Research Presentations, the following will be presented:
Minoru Aosaki, "Banking System and Sovereign Risk in Japan"
After the financial crisis of 2008, European financial markets have experienced sharp increases of sovereign risk. This adversely affected the solvency of banking institutions as they suffered losses from their sovereign holdings and deterioration in their funding conditions. Meanwhile, Japan's sovereign market remained stable, but market participants were cautious as the country’s debt-to-GDP ratio is the highest in the world, and its banking sector holds as much as 44% of domestic sovereign debt. The question is how Japanese policy makers should address the sovereign risk in the banking system. In pursuit of this question, Aosaki compares the market environment in Japan and the Euro Area, examining the reasons banks hold sovereign bonds and the channels that connect sovereign risk with the banking system.
Prashant Pandya, "Cell-based Therapies -- Current Trends and Future Prospects"
Stem cells have been the subject of considerable excitement and debate over the last decade. Stem cell therapy is emerging as a potentially revolutionary new way to treat disease and injury, with wide-ranging medical benefits. Stem cell research provides the opportunity to advance our understanding of human biology and treatment of various diseases. In Pandya’s research, he shares his experience about major challenges related to the commercial development of stem cell therapies and key technology drivers. This research is based on consultations with several prestigious regulatory agencies—including the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, European Medicines Agency, and Therapeutic Goods Administration of Australia—as well as interviews with 45 CEOs and senior scientists of large and small biotech companies and professors from leading universities across five countries. Pandya’s research reveals that there are many intriguing aspects of stem cells still remaining to be elucidated. Stem cells have the potential to treat an enormous range of diseases and conditions that plague millions of people and offer exciting promise for future therapies. But significant technical hurdles remain that will only be overcome through years of intensive research, and successful commercialization of cell-based therapies requires more than proving safety and efficacy to regulators. Ultimately the therapy must be commercially viable.
Ramnath Ramanathan, "Designing Toxicology Studies for Small Interfering Ribo Nucleic Acid"
The field of medicine has improved drastically over the period of time. Medical treatment has evolved from using plant extracts to chemical drugs to stem cell and gene therapies. Discovery of small interfering Ribo Nucleic Acid (siRNA) was one of the most important recent breakthroughs in the field of medicine. This was due to siRNA’s capability of posttranscriptional gene silencing by destruction of mRNA and thereby reducing the protein synthesis. Though the efficacy studies conducted in vitro and in animal models are promising, there have also been circumstances where there were adverse effects including mortality of animals treated with siRNA. Since RNA interference is a relatively new technique, it is very important to understand the toxicity involved before using it as a therapy. For this purpose, toxicology studies have to be designed in order to address all questions on the safety aspects of siRNA. In addition to the traditional toxicity studies, several other tests will have to be conducted. These additional studies will have to address issues specific to siRNA therapy such as immune activation, formation of tetraplex DNA, down regulation of non-target mRNA, interaction with cellular proteins, etc. Through Ramanathan’s work, he has designed a battery of toxicology studies to understand the side effects so that only relatively safe therapy is tried on humans during clinical trials. Ramanathan will present his findings.
Philippines Conference Room
Minoru Aosaki
Minoru Aosaki is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) for 2010–11 and 2011–12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he was deputy director for international banking regulations at the Government of Japan's Financial Services Agency, where he was responsible for developing bank regulatory standards as a member of groups of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. Before 2008, he worked for Japan's Ministry of Finance and drafted the ministry's policy-position papers on the International Monetary Fund and also participated in the communiqué drafting processes at the G7 and G20 meetings.
During his time at Shorenstein APARC, Aosaki researches policy responses to the recent financial crisis with the support of Dr. Michael Armacost, and discussed at seminars and conferences at Stanford University, Cornell University, and Harvard University. He received a bachelor of law degree (LL.B.) from Hitotsubashi University in 2001, a master of public administration degree (MPA) from Syracuse University in 2004, and a master of law degree (LL.M.) from Cornell Law School in 2005.
Prashant Pandya
Prashant Pandya is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. Prior to joining Shorenstein APARC, he has worked for Reliance Life Sciences at Navi Mumbai (India) as a Deputy General Manager.
He has over 12 years of experience in various fields such as first in human studies, stem cell research, phase-II-IV, bioequivalence and QTC studies. He has monitored and conducted more then 100 national and global studies and has hands-on experience in the complete drug development process. He is a qualified Pharmacist, certified Project Manager & clinical research professional with post-graduate work in pharmaceutical & business management. Prior to joining Reliance Life Sciences, he was associated with India’s leading pharmaceutical and Contract Research Organizations such as Ranbaxy & Cadila.
Ramnath Ramanathan
Ramnath Ramanathan is a corporate affiliate visiting fellow at Shorenstein APARC for 2011-12. He works for Reliance Life Sciences Pvt. Ltd. (India). For more than 6 years with Reliance, he has been working on various branches of laboratory animal research. He started his carrier with monitoring quality of laboratory animals. Currently, his major field of work is toxicology. His interests include creation and research on animal models of human diseases.
Ramanathan received his Masters degree in biotechnology from the Univeristy of Madras and is currently pursuing his Ph.D. in biochemistry at Mumbai University.
What's next after third North Korea rocket launch?
After stirring international media attention and drawing criticism from its neighbors and the United States, North Korea’s controversial launch of a rocket under the guise of installing an “Earth observation” satellite in orbit took place on Apr. 13.
David Straub, associate director of Stanford’s Korean Studies Program, assesses the likely responses of the United States and other concerned countries, and provides historical context for the actions of North Korea’s leadership.
How is the launch going to impact North Korea’s relations with the United States and other countries?
We have already “been there, done that.” This will be the third North Korean test of a long-range rocket in six years. Shortly after the launches in 2006 and 2009, the North Koreans tested their first nuclear devices. The concern is that they will again use the expected international condemnation of their launch as a pretext for conducting another nuclear test.
But sometimes experience changes perspective. The United States and other countries will want to try to respond to the rocket test in a way that complicates any North Korean effort to justify a new nuclear test.
The international community really cannot remain silent, because United Nations Security Council (UNSC) Resolution 1874, which was passed in 2009, forbids North Korea from conducting precisely this kind of launch. I anticipate the UNSC will meet to discuss the situation but will not be able to issue a formal resolution. It will probably wind up issuing only a UNSC presidential statement criticizing the launch. China is the main obstacle. It does not approve of North Korea’s activities, but it is more concerned that putting great pressure on North Korea will result in instability.
The United States, South Korea, and Japan will continue to consult and coordinate closely with one another. They may take additional measures to collect intelligence about North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs. They may also look to bolster their cooperation on missile defense, and take further steps to restrict North Korea’s access to nuclear- and missile-related materials and technology. They may apply additional economic sanctions to show their disapproval of North Korea’s actions.
Do you think the launch is going make it more difficult for North Korea to conduct trade and obtain aid and development assistance?
North Korea’s behavior now is part and parcel of its behavior over the past several decades. For the North Korean regime, the wellbeing of its people is clearly a secondary priority compared to its own survival.
At least since the end of the cold war, North Korea has faced a dilemma: Open up or fail, or open up and fail. In other words, it needs to open up to receive outside investment and technology if it is ever to have a successful economy. If it does not do that, the regime is unsustainable over the long run. But North Korea’s leaders fear that opening to the outside world would bring down their regime because it will expose the country’s weaknesses to its people. In order to get out of this dilemma, they have reached for weapons of mass destruction—particularly nuclear devices and the missiles they hope eventually can carry them. That is why there is no indication the North Korean leadership is prepared to completely give up those programs, at least on any terms that the United States, Japan, or South Korea could accept.
This is a long-term challenge for the United States and its allies. We have to see the situation for what it is, and deal with it accordingly. That means we must never “accept” North Korea’s possession of nuclear weapons and long-range missiles. As long as North Korea maintains these programs, we must make it clear that we will not establish diplomatic relations or ease sanctions. But that also does not mean that we should not continue to hold out to North Korea the possibility of a negotiated settlement, should it really be prepared to completely give up these programs.
What are some of the key things to keep in mind about North Korea’s recent actions and about the country in general?
To understand what North Korea is doing, we have to get back to basics. The fundamental situation stems from the 1945 division of the Korean Peninsula into two separate states. North Korea’s Stalinist-style system developed into a totalitarian dictatorship with a personality cult, and it has been spectacularly unsuccessful, especially compared to its rival state South Korea.
The leaders in North Korea are reasonably well-informed and intelligent people. They saw what happened to the Soviet Union and its satellite states in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and decided it would not happen to them. For them, the lesson was: Do not open up or even receive aid, unless it is completely controlled to minimize outside influences. Most of the North Korean elite believes their regime is the legitimate Korean regime. They also understand that regime collapse could well mean absorption of the North by the South, and the possibility that they could go on trial for crimes against their own people. I anticipate that most of the elite will try very hard to hold the regime together in the coming years, even if it means continuing to pursue nuclear and missile programs and threatening and even attacking South Korea again.
But sooner or later major change is inevitable in such a rigid system. This requires the concerned countries to have a clear-headed analysis of the situation, take a long-term perspective, and consistently implement a principled policy. It is very challenging to do this with so many countries involved. But it can be done. Over the long term, the strengths of democracies far outweigh their weaknesses in dealing with countries like North Korea.
Students learn through assignments based on real global events
Imagine you are on the staff of the National Security Council (NSC) and a naval dispute breaks out on the Korean Peninsula while you are at home celebrating Thanksgiving. You have just three hours to prepare a detailed memorandum summarizing the situation and offering recommendations for how the United States should respond.
This is a major responsibility with a large number of interrelated issues that must be taken into account—how would you proceed?
Stanford students in the winter quarter course U.S. Policy toward Northeast Asia (IPS 244) had the opportunity to step into the challenging role of the NSC senior director for Asia and consider such a security situation. They wrote and presented memoranda on this and an East Asia trade crisis scenario in class, as well as a final memorandum to the president proposing a China policy for his second term. The assignments required students to consider a wide range of global, regional, and domestic factors—many pulled directly from current global events.
Each member of the team of Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) Asia experts teaching the course drew on decades of related expertise to write the scenarios.
- Michael H. Armacost, the Center’s Shorenstein Distinguished Fellow, previously served on the NSC, in the Defense Department, as U.S. ambassador to the Philippines and Japan, and as undersecretary of state for political affairs.
- Shorenstein APARC associate director for research Daniel C. Sneider, an Asia history expert, spent over 30 years as a journalist reporting on international affairs and security issues, including working as a foreign correspondent in Japan, Korea, India, and Russia.
- David Straub, associate director of Stanford’s Korean Studies Program, is a former State Department official with long-time expertise in U.S.-Korea relations and North Korea, including participation in the Six-Party Talks on North Korea’s nuclear program.
- Thomas Fingar, FSI’s Oksenberg-Rohlen Distinguished Fellow, is a China expert and has previously held numerous key U.S. intelligence posts, most recently as the first deputy director of national intelligence for analysis and, concurrently, as chairman of the National Intelligence Council. He also served as assistant secretary of the State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research.
In the first assignment, students read about a proposed China-Japan-South Korea free trade agreement (FTA). Navigating through a web of regional and domestic issues, they advised on how the United States should respond to an appeal from Japan for certain trade concessions in exchange for its backing out of the FTA. The assignment described complex economic and political conditions in May 2013 after elections in the United States, South Korea, and Japan, and a leadership transition in China. The U.S.-Japan alliance was one of many key factors students took into account.
“It was my great pleasure to participate in this class—it truly broadened my views of U.S. foreign policy toward Northeast Asia. The substantive knowledge presented by both instructors and students during the class will undoubtedly contribute to a much safer, more peaceful, and unified world.”
-Heeyoung Kwon, Visiting Scholar, Korea Foundation
The next memorandum assignment described an inter-Korean naval dispute falling in the crucial weeks between the 2012 U.S. and South Korean presidential elections. It narrated the economic and political situation of each country in precise detail, and set the stage for the dispute with real-life events like the 2010 sinking of the South Korean navy ship the Cheonan. Students were asked to consider the possible role China could play in mediating with North Korea, and how U.S. tensions with Iran could limit its involvement in negotiations.
“In IPS 244…no conversation is irrelevant to current events in Northeast Asia…The memo assignments…are so detailed, so current, and so realistic, that even a seasoned diplomat would be challenged by them—I know this because there are seasoned diplomats taking the class.”
-Jeffrey Stern, MA Student, International Studies Program
Shorenstein APARC offers U.S. Policy toward Northeast Asia each winter quarter. The diverse mix of students, combined with the “in-the-field” expertise of the instructors, creates a lively and challenging class environment. IPS 244 goes beyond a traditional academic course to create assignments based on real-life events and global conditions, and place students in the position of thinking like a government official. For the many of them that will go on to pursue government careers, the course serves as an important first-step in training for “scenarios” very similar to those they address in class.
Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellowship program grows
“A postdoctoral program is crucial to the intellectual development of any strong academic institution. I am proud the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center will serve as a home next year for these four talented emerging Asia scholars. Not only will they benefit from taking part in our vibrant research and publishing activities, but they will also bring new expertise and perspectives to our Center.”
-Gi-Wook Shin, Director, Shorenstein APARC
In the coming academic year, the Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellowship program will double in size.
The four incoming fellows represent the best of the next generation of contemporary Asia scholars. Their research ranges from civil society and authoritarian governance in China to ethnic conflict in South Asia, and Korean migration and identity to election politics in Japan.
During their time at the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC), the fellows will conduct their own research and writing, present their work at public seminars, and take part in the research and publishing activities of the Center. Postdoctoral fellows will also have the chance to exchange ideas with Shorenstein APARC experts and interact with the many distinguished visitors who visit each year from throughout the Asia-Pacific region.
In addition, the Asia Health Policy Program at Shorenstein APARC will welcome two postdoctoral fellows in the 2012–13 academic year: an Asia Health Policy Fellow and a Developing Asia Fellow.
Postdoctoral fellows are a vital part of the academic life of the Center, and their relationships with Shorenstein APARC will continue throughout their entire careers.
The Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellowship Program is made possible through the generosity of Walter H. Shorenstein.
“This fellowship has changed the trajectory of my academic career. It has given me the intellectual space to be highly productive and the freedom to expand my understanding of world events in order to enhance my future teaching and research. Thanks in large part to the fellowship, I was able to obtain an appointment as an assistant professor in the Department of International Relations at Boston University.”
-Jeremy Menchik, 2011–12 Shorenstein Postdoctoral Fellow
2012–13 Shorenstein PostDoctoral Fellows
Diana Fu will be joining Shorenstein APARC from Oxford University’s Department of Politics and International Relations, and from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology where she recently served as a political science research fellow. Her research interests encompass state-society relations in authoritarian regimes, civil society, governance, and labor contention. She will be completing a series of journal articles about civil society and authoritarian governance in China. Fu holds an MPhil in international development from Oxford University where she studied as a Rhodes Scholar, and a BA in global studies and political science from the University of Minnesota.
Comparing China’s Islams: Muslim Minority Accommodation to Chinese Rule
Muslim minorities in China are often depicted as either forces for integration (i.e., sinicization and assimilation) or disintegration (as separatists, radical Islamists, or ethnic nationalists). Yet, many of the challenges China’s Muslims confront remain the same as they have for the last 1400 years of continuous interaction with Chinese society, though clearly many are new as a result of China's transformed and increasingly globalized society, and especially since the watershed events of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks with the subsequent Sino-U.S. cooperation on the “war on terrorism.”
Muslims in China live as minority communities amid a sea of people, in their view, who are largely pork-eating, polytheist, secularist, and kafir ("heathen"). Nevertheless, many of their small and isolated communities have survived in rather inhospitable circumstances for over a millennium.
This seminar will examine Islam and Muslim minority identity in China. Through comparing the two largest Muslim minorities in China (Uyghur and Hui), it will be argued that successful Muslim accommodation to minority status in China can be seen to be a measure of the extent to which Muslims have been able to reconcile the dictates of Islamic identiy to their host culture. This goes against the opposite view that can be found in the writings of some analysts of Islam in China, that Islam in the region is almost unavoidably rebellious and that Muslims as minorities are inherently problematic to a non-Muslim state. The history of Islam in China suggests that both within each Muslim community, as well as between Muslim nationalities, there are many alternatives to either complete accommodation or separatism.
Dru C. Gladney is the author of over 50 academic articles, as well as Muslim Chinese: Ethnic Nationalism in the People's Republic (Harvard University Press, 1996, 2nd edition); Ethnic Identity in China: The Making of a Muslim Minority Nationality (Wadsworth, 1998); Making Majorities: Constituting the Nation in Japan, China, Korea, Malaysia, Fiji, Turkey, and the U.S. (Editor, Stanford University Press, 1998). Former president of the Pacific Basin Institute and dean of the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies in Honolulu, Gladney is also the author of Dislocating China: Muslims, Minorities, and Other Sub-Altern Subjects (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2004). He is currently working on a comparative study of Muslim adaptations in China as well as a study of new media in helping to build a Uyghur "virtual" nation.
This seminar series is co-sponsored by the South Asia Initiative,
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