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This seminar exploits longitudinal claims data and a cost-sharing subsidy that has exempted copayment and coinsurance of healthcare service for children under the age of 3 in Taiwan.  We conduct a regression discontinuity design by comparing the use of healthcare for children just before and just after their third birthdays. Our results show that lower level of cost sharing increases outpatient visits and discourages patients’ price-shopping behavior. In contrast, the utilization of inpatient care for children is price insensitive. Finally, we find little evidence on the impact of the cost-sharing subsidy on children’s short-run or long-run health.

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Hsien-Ming Lien is currently a visiting Fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (CASBS) and a Fulbright Scholar at Stanford University. He is also the Director of the Taiwan Study Center, and Professor in the Department of Public Finance, National Chen-Chi University and an adjunct Professor in the Department of Economics at National Taiwan University, where he teaches health systems, health economics, and econometrics. He earned his B.S. from National Taiwan University, and Ph. D. from Boston University.

Prof Lien’s research focuses on 1) physicians’ behavior; 2) the impact of the National Health Insurance program on the health care market; and 3) the impact of copayments on health care use. Prof Lien is a recipient of the Minister Wang Jin Naw Memorial Award for Best Paper in Health Care Management presented by the Kimma Chang Foundation in 2002, and the Golden Paper Award presented by the Chuang Yi-Chou Foundation in 2009. Prof. Lien has published papers in Health Services Research, Journal of Health Economics, Economic Inquiry, and other journals.  

 

Hsien-Ming Lien Visiting Fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences (CASBS) and a Fulbright Scholar, Stanford University
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I estimate and decompose the welfare benefit of Thailand's universal health care policy, also known as the “30 Baht program”. The total welfare impact of the 30 Baht program is defined as the amount of consumption that an enrollee would need to give up so as to leave her with the same expected utility as without the 30 Baht program. I find that the total welfare benefit is approximately 75 cents per dollar of government spending. The main source of the welfare effect can be attributed to improved consumption smoothing rather than increases in the consumption level. Using the difference in differences method, I find that the effect of the 30 Baht program on income is significantly positive, while the effect on consumption is slightly negative but not significant. This implies that the 30 Baht program has a positive impact on savings and future consumption, rather than current consumption.

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Natt Hongdilokkul joins the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) during the 2017-2018 academic year as a postdoctoral scholar in Developing Asia Health policy. His research interests concern the effect of universal health care on household outcomes and welfare using micro-level panel data in Thailand. He received a PhD and an MA in Economics from Simon Fraser University, Canada, and another MA and a BA in Economics from Thammasat University, Thailand.

616 Serra StreetEncina Hall E301Stanford, CA94305-6055
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Natt Hongdilokkul joins the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) during the 2017-2018 academic year as a postdoctoral scholar in Developing Asia Health policy. His research interests concern the effect of universal health care on household outcomes and welfare using micro-level panel data in Thailand. He received a PhD and an MA in Economics from Simon Fraser University, Canada, and another MA and a BA in Economics from Thammasat University, Thailand.

Developing Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, 2017-18
Developing Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, 2017-18
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This paper considers household decision making on living arrangements and maternal labor supply in an extended family with young children. In such a context, the decision making is driven by the concern that the companionship of children is a household public good and that family members share childcare and related domestic duties. The incentive to share children’s companionship is affected by son preference, whereas the economic motive of labor division hinges on the potential wage rate of the mother. Both channels play important roles in households with mothers whose wage rates are high,  while sharing the companionship of (grand)sons is the main driving force in households with mothers whose wage rates are low. Using China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS) data, we find that among less-educated mothers, the incidence of a family co-residing with the paternal grandmother is at least 8.6 percentage points higher if the firstborn is a boy. At the same time, maternal labor supply increases by 2.9 days per month. By contrast, for educated mothers, the propensity for co-residence is higher, and the working hours are longer than for less-educated mothers, and the impact of the child’s sex is not significant. This paper not only provides a better understanding of the demographic and economic factors determining co-residence and intra-household time allocations, but also lends empirical support to policies aiming to increase female labor supply and improve the well-being of girls.

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Asia Health Policy Program working paper # 44
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Soon after the American Revolution, certain of the founders began to recognize the strategic significance of Asia and the Pacific and the vast material and cultural resources at stake there. Over the coming generations, the United States continued to ask how best to expand trade with the region and whether to partner with China, at the center of the continent, or Japan, looking toward the Pacific. Where should the United States draw its defensive line, and how should it export democratic principles? In a history that spans the eighteenth century to the present, Michael J. Green follows the development of U.S. strategic thinking toward East Asia, identifying recurring themes in American statecraft that reflect the nation's political philosophy and material realities.

 

Drawing on archives, interviews, and his own experience in the Pentagon and White House, Green finds one overarching concern driving U.S. policy toward East Asia: a fear that a rival power might use the Pacific to isolate and threaten the United States and prevent the ocean from becoming a conduit for the westward free flow of trade, values, and forward defense. By More Than Providence works through these problems from the perspective of history's major strategists and statesmen, from Thomas Jefferson to Alfred Thayer Mahan and Henry Kissinger. It records the fate of their ideas as they collided with the realities of the Far East and adds clarity to America's stakes in the region, especially when compared with those of Europe and the Middle East.

 

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Michael Jonathan Green is senior vice president for Asia and Japan Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and chair in modern and contemporary Japanese politics and foreign policy at the Edmund A. Walsh School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University. He served on the staff of the National Security Council (NSC) from 2001 through 2005, first as director for Asian affairs with responsibility for Japan, Korea, Australia, and New Zealand, and then as special assistant to the president for national security affairs and senior director for Asia, with responsibility for East Asia and South Asia. Before joining the NSC staff, he was a senior fellow for East Asian security at the Council on Foreign Relations, director of the Edwin O. Reischauer Center and the Foreign Policy Institute and an assistant professor at the School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins University, research staff member at the Institute for Defense Analyses, and senior adviser on Asia in the Office of the Secretary of Defense. He also worked in Japan on the staff of a member of the National Diet.

 

Dr. Green is also a nonresident fellow at the Lowy Institute in Sydney, Australia, and a distinguished scholar at the Asia Pacific Institute in Tokyo. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Aspen Strategy Group, the America Australia Leadership Dialogue, the advisory boards of Radio Free Asia, Center for a New American Security, and the editorial boards of the Washington Quarterly and the Journal of Unification Studies in Korea. He also serves as a trustee at The Asia Foundation, senior adviser at the Asia Group, and as an associate of the U.S. Intelligence Community. Dr. Green has authored numerous books and articles on East Asian security, including most recently, By More Than Providence: Grand Strategy and American Power in the Asia Pacific Since 1783 . He received his master’s and doctoral degrees from SAIS and did additional graduate and postgraduate research at Tokyo University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. He received his bachelor’s degree in history from Kenyon College with highest honors. He holds a black belt in Iaido (sword) and has won international prizes on the great highland bagpipe.

 

Books will be available for sale at the event

Philippines Conference Room

Encina Hall, 3rd floor, Central

Michael J. Green <i>Senior Vice President for Asia; Japan Chair, Center for Strategic International Studies</i>
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In this public colloquium, a leading expert on public health in India discusses strategies and tactics to address the chronic disease burden in India. Drawing from the cutting edge research of the Centre for Chronic Disease Control, D. Prabhakaran will discuss the prevention and management of chronic diseases in India and the developing world, including initiatives to create solutions for cardiovascular disease through translational research and human resource development.

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Professor D. Prabhakaran is a cardiologist and epidemiologist by training. He is an internationally renowned researcher and is currently the Vice President- Research & Policy, Public Health Foundation of India, Executive Director of Centre for Chronic Disease Control, New Delhi, India and Professor (Epidemiology) London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, UK. He heads the Centre for Control of Chronic Conditions at PHFI which is a joint initiative of four leading institutions (Public Health Foundation of India, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi and Emory University). His work spans from mechanistic research to understand the causes for increased propensity of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) among Indians, to developing solutions for CVD. Prof. Prabhakaran is a Fellow of the Royal College of Physicians, UK, Fellow of the National Academy of Sciences, India, and an Adjunct Professor at the Emory University. He is member of Executive Council of the International Society of Hypertension (ISH) and Chair of the International Society of CVD Epidemiology and Prevention (ISCEP). He has received funding from NHLBI, Wellcome Trust, European Commission and several other international and national funding bodies.  He has mentored over 40 post-doctoral and doctoral students so far. He has authored several chapters and over 375 scholarly papers with an H index of 59. He is the lead editor of the Cardiovascular Disease Volume of the latest Disease Control Priorities Project.

About the Colloquia:

In 2016, the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, in collaboration with the Stanford Center for South Asia, launched a series of public lectures to broaden our understanding and discussion of contemporary India — its enormous domestic potential and problems, its place in the region and the world, and the ambitious agenda of the new Modi administration. Building on the strong engagement of those issues from across the university community and beyond, we are continuing the series, with generous support from the U.S. India Business Council, in the 2017-2018 academic year. We will  draw business, political, diplomatic and academic experts from the U.S. and India to explore topics including India’s innovation economy, India-China relations, India’s pivotal role in global health, and U.S.-India relations. 

 

This Colloquia is co-sponsored with the U.S.-India Business Council 

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  and the Stanford Center for South Asia

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Philippines Conference Room

Encina Hall, 3rd floor, Central

D. Prabhakaran Vice President (Research & Policy), Public Health Foundation of India, Executive Director of Centre for Chronic Disease Control, New Delhi, India
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Asia’s transformation presents both challenges and opportunities at international, regional, and domestic levels. One key to a peaceful, prosperous Asia in the 21st century is good relations between the United States and China. But other challenges exist: nuclear proliferation, maritime security, violent conflict, environmental degradation, natural disasters, food security, cyber-security, and social and gender inequality, among others. Social transformation is outpacing political and institutional reform in many Asian countries, and the widening gap between state and society is a potent force for change. How will Asians address these challenges over the next one to two decades? What role will Asian women play in this transformation? How should the United States respond? The panelists and the discussant have contributed answers to these and other questions regarding Asia’s future in the latest iteration of The Asia Foundation’s quadrennial investigation and dissemination of Asian views of America’s role in Asia, including policy recommendations for the Trump administration. Stanford’s Southeast Asia Program director Don Emmerson will chair the session.

Chheang Vannarith

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is a co-founder and vice-chairman of the Cambodian Institute for Strategic Studies and an adjunct senior fellow and member of the board at the Cambodia Institute for Cooperation and Peace. He was a visiting fellow at ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore, China Institute of International Studies in China, IDE-JETRO in Japan, and East-West Center in the US. He was a lecturer in Asia-Pacific Studies at the University of Leeds, and he served as executive director of the Cambodian Institute for Cooperation and Peace from 2009 to 2013. His research interests include Asia-Pacific international politics, regionalism, governance, social innovation, and social entrepreneurship. Chheang earned a bachelor’s degree in International Relations from the Diplomatic Academy of Vietnam in 2002, a master’s degree in International Relations from the International University of Japan in 2006, the Graduate Certificate in Leadership from the East-West Center in the United States in 2008, and a doctoral degree in Asia-Pacific Studies from the Ritsumeikan Asia Pacific University in 2009. He was honored as Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum in 2013.

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Sylvia Mishra is a researcher with Observer Research Foundation New Delhi and is presently with the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS), Monterey, California. Her current research is focused on South Asian security issues and nuclear dynamics, India’s foreign policy, defence and security cooperation with the United States and disruptive technologies. She is a former CNS Visiting Fellow and Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Project on Nuclear Issues scholar. She has presented papers and delivered talks at national and international conferences and at platforms like the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty Organization, the United States Strategic Command, Air Force Technical Applications Center Patrick Air Force Base (Florida), Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies and The Asia Foundation, among others. She has a number of publications to her credit, including chapters in books, articles in journals such as the Indian Foreign Affairs Journal, Global Policy, and commentaries/opinion pieces for CSIS, RUSI, The Fletcher Forum of World Affairs, Crawford School of Public Policy ANU, CNS, Stimson, The Diplomat, Hindustan Times and several other publications. She holds a master’s degree in History of International Relations from London School of Economics and has received a Certificate for completing a course on ‘International Safeguards Policy and Information Analysis’ from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

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Duyeon Kim is a visiting senior fellow at the Korean Peninsula Future Forum, a non-partisan think tank in Seoul, and a columnist for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Her specialties include East Asian security, the two Koreas, nuclear nonproliferation, and arms control. She has been an associate on nuclear policy and Asia at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and, earlier, a senior fellow and deputy director at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation in Washington, DC. Kim has written in leading publications including Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, and the National Interest. Previously, as a correspondent for South Korea’s Arirang TV News, she covered the Six-Party Talks, inter-Korean relations, and U.S. foreign policy, among other topics. Her degrees are from the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service (MS) and Syracuse University (BA).

 

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John Brandon is the Senior Director of International Relations Programs in The Asia Foundation’s Washington, DC office. He has been responsible for many of the Foundation’s publications including Asian Views on America’s Role in Asia (2016). Trained as a Southeast Asianist, he lectures and publishes widely on US-Asian relations. Publications he has co-authored, edited, or contributed to include three books on Burma/Myanmar and one on US-Southeast Asia relations. His MA in political science and Southeast Asian studies is from Northern Illinois University.

 

 

This panel discussion is co-sponsored by The Asia Pacific Research Center and The Asia Foundation with support from The Carnegie Corporation of New York

 

Chheang Vannarith Senior Fellow and Member of the Board, Cambodian Institute for Cooperation and Peace
Sylvia Mishra Researcher, Observer Research Foundation, Researcher, James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey
Duyeon Kim Visiting Senior Fellow at the Korean Peninsula Future Forum, a non-partisan think tank in Seoul
John Brandon Senior Director, International Relations Programs, The Asia Foundation
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Co-sponsored by the Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law, Center for East Asian Studies, and the Southeast Asia Program

Who is Rodrigo Duterte?  How did he become president of the Philippines?  How has his rule impacted Philippine democracy and society?  Is his ascent part of a broader “Duterte wave” of strongman leadership in Russia, Turkey, India, China, and Southeast Asia?  What is his foreign policy?  How has it affected Sino-US rivalry in Asia including the situation in the South China Sea?  Richard Heydarian will address these and other questions drawing on field research for his latest book, The Rise of Duterte.  Regarding China, he will argue that Duterte’s willingness to realign Manila with Beijing at Washington’s expense offers a glimpse of what China’s rise could imply for nations around the world.  The book will be available for sale at his talk. 

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Richard Javad Heydarian is the most prolific and interviewed geopolitical analyst currently writing and speaking not only in the Philippines but arguably in Southeast Asia as well. Outlets for his articles and remarks have included Aljazeera English, The Atlantic, BBC, Bloomberg, The Economist, The Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, The Guardian, The New York Times, Nikkei Asian Review, South China Morning Post, The Straits Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post. In addition to the 2017 book that entitles his talk, he has written two others: Asia's New Battlefield: US, China, and the Struggle for Western Pacific (2015) and How Capitalism Failed the Arab World (2014). He lectures widely; has taught political science at Ateneo de Manila University and De La Salle University in the Philippines; has published in leading scholarly journals on Asian politics and security; and is a regular contributor to the Center for Strategic and International Studies and the Council on Foreign Relations. 

 

Richard Javad Heydarian Resident Political Analyst, GMA Network, and Non-resident Fellow, Stratbase-ADR Institute, Manila
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Indonesia has not signed the 1951 Refugee Convention and does not offer legal pathways for the permanent integration of refugees into its society. Rohingya refugees fleeing Myanmar across the Andaman Sea to Aceh in 2015 did, nevertheless, receive “hospitality” in the form of a humanitarian welcome by local non-state actors. Indonesian authorities have argued that this “Aceh model” deserves emulation by other countries experiencing emergency in-migrations. Since the crisis, academics and policymakers in Indonesia and elsewhere have debated the merits of the model compared with state-funded refugee-protection schemes.

Dr. Missbach will examine the reactions of the Indonesian hosts towards the Rohingya through the conceptual lens of “hospitality.” The diverging motivations of the different stakeholders and groups who provided hospitality, she will argue, were not always as altruistic as claimed. By documenting the tensions inherent in hospitality practices, Dr. Missbach will reveal a subtle instrumentalization of hospitality by non-state actors for non-refugee related purposes, and thus question the effectiveness of such ad hoc approaches when it comes to ensuring basic refugee rights. Privately offered hospitality alone, traditional or religious, cannot resolve migration crises in ways that respect those rights. Accordingly, in Indonesia and Southeast Asia generally, the state should take more responsibility for helping refugees seeking safety.

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Antje Missbach is a senior lecturer and research fellow at the School of Social Sciences in Monash University (Melbourne). Among her books are Troubled Transit: Asylum Seekers Stuck in Indonesia (2015) and Politics and Conflict in Indonesia: The Role of the Acehnese Diaspora (2011). Her many other writings include a prize-winning piece on people-smuggling, fishermen, and poverty on Rote island in eastern Indonesia (“Perilous Waters”) that appeared in the Dec. 2016 Pacific Affairs. In addition to migration, her research interests include irregular migration, anti-trafficking efforts, diaspora politics, and long-distance nationalism. She obtained her PhD from the Australian National University in 2010.

Antje Missbach 2017-18 Lee Kong Chian NUS-Stanford Fellow on Contemporary Southeast Asia
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William F. Miller, a former provost at Stanford University, a founding member of the university's Computer Science Department, and former CEO of SRI, died at the age of 91 on Wednesday, September 27.

Miller held an array of other leadership, industry, and academic roles, but at Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC), Bill was better known as one of the leaders of the Stanford Program on Regions of Innovation and Entrepreneurship (SPRIE), along with Henry S. Rowen and Marguerite Gong Hancock. SPRIE was established at Shorenstein APARC in 2001 after the publication of The Silicon Valley Edge by Stanford University Press, co-edited by Miller, Rowen, Hancock, and Chong-Moon Lee; the book, the program's research, and Miller and Rowen's vast experience were responsible for a steady stream of visitors to Encina Hall, all looking to understand the Valley's success and replicate it abroad.

Two more books were published by SPRIE, focusing on the rise of innovation in Asia: Making IT: The Rise of Asia in High Tech (2006), and Greater China's Quest for Innovation (2008). In 2011, the program moved to the Graduate School of Business.

Full details on Bill Miller's life, as a leader, an entrepreneur, a tireless advisor and advocate, and as a generous human being, can be found here.

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William F. Miller speaks in Madrid in 2007.
Courtesy Stanford Program on Regions of Innovation and Entrepreneurship
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Co-sponsored by the Center for East Asian Studies and the Asia Health Policy Program

With rapid economic development, changes in lifestyle, epidemiologic transition and the ageing of the population, China’s primary health challenge has become Non-Communicable Diseases (NCDs). Zhejiang province—one of the wealthiest and longest-lived—illustrates how China is responding to this challenge. In Zhejiang, NCDs account for 85% of deaths; the prevalence of hypertension and diabetes are 26.7 % and 7.4%, respectively; and the age of onset of diabetes is getting progressively younger. This seminar will focus on two inter-related strategies: strengthening primary care management of chronic disease, and leveraging newly created regional “big data” platforms to improve policy. Drawing on collaborative research with Stanford’s Asia Health Policy Program, Dr. Zhong will discuss management of hypertension and diabetes patients in community health centers, as well as how Ningbo City of Zhejiang exemplifies the experience of many local governments (municipalities or counties) in building their own regional health information platforms. By gradually collecting all administrative data and other health-related information for their residents from birth to death, including medical claims, vaccination records, lifestyle behaviors, environmental and meteorological factors, and so on, more and more local policymakers seek to analyze big data to explore potential risk factors, pilot targeted interventions, and support evidence-based health policies.

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Zhong, Jieming graduated from the school of public health of Zhejiang University and received his master's degree in public health (MPH) from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. He is the director of the Department of Non-communicable Disease (NCD) Control and Prevention in the Zhejiang CDC. He served as deputy director of the Department of Tuberculosis Control and Prevention in Zhejiang CDC during 2008-2014. He is a member of the Zhejiang Preventive Medicine Association and has engaged in and chaired several international cooperation and local research projects. He has in-depth research on NCDs and TB control and prevention, and has published over 30 scientific papers in related fields.

Zhong Jieming Director of the Department of NCD Control and Prevention, Zhejiang CDC, China.
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