The JIIA-Stanford Symposium
"The Past, Present, and Future International Order in East Asia"
May 10, 2019
Bechtel Conference Center, Encina Hall, Stanford University
Sponsored and organized by the Japan Institute for International Affairs (JIIA) and Japan Program and the US-Asia Security Initiative of the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) of the Freeman Spogli Institue of International Studies (FSI) at Stanford University
Interstate relations in East Asia are at a critical juncture. The post-World War II regional order, shaped by the San Francisco Treaty of 1951, underpinned by a common commitment to a liberal trade system, and led by the United States, is under stress. The end of the Cold War, rise of China, and recent changes in America’s foreign policy orientation have transformed the environment that sustained “the San Francisco System.” It is unclear if this system will be maintained, and if not, what will replace it. The lineage of the San Francisco System itself reaches back to the post-World War I Versailles-Washington System. An examination of the success and shortcomings of each of these systems can offer insights on the rise and fall of international systems, especially in an Asian context. In this symposium, we explore the circumstances that shaped the establishment and evolution of the East Asian political, economic, and security architectures from post-WWI to present; discuss the forces that built and undermined the past and existing architecture; and debate possible regional futures. We will emphasize the perspectives and roles of the U.S., Japan, and China, and focus on major influencing factors including historical legacies, the changing distribution of global power, alliance structures, and political ideologies.
Agenda
9:00am - 9:30am
Registration and Breakfast
9:30am - 9:45am
Welcome Remarks:
Gi-Wook Shin, Director, APARC, Stanford University
Kenichiro Sasae, President, JIIA
Takeo Hoshi, Director, Japan Program, APARC, Stanford Univeristy
9:45am - 11:30am
Panel I: Comparing “the Versailles-Washington System” and “San Francisco System”: Lessons from the Rise and Fall of International Orders in East Asia
Chair: Daniel Sneider, FSI, Stanford University
Panelists:
Shin Kawashima, University of Tokyo
Masaya Inoue, Seikei University
Lin Hsiao-ting, Hoover Institution, Stanford University
David Kennedy, Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC), FSI, Stanford University
11:30am - 1:15pm
Lunch
Keynote Speaker: Ambassador Michael Armacost
1:15pm - 3:00pm
Panel Discussion II: Japanese, U.S. and Chinese Interests and Security
Chair: Kenichiro Sasae, JIIA
Panelists:
Ken Jimbo, Keio University
Tetsuo Kotani, JIIA
Mike Lampton, APARC, Stanford University
Jim Schoff, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace (CEIP)
3:00pm - 3:30pm
Coffee Break
3:30pm - 5:15pm
Panel Discussion III: Alternative Future East Asia Systems
Chair: Phillip Lipscy, FSI, Stanford University
Panelists:
Jim Fearon, FSI, Stanford University
Ryo Sahashi, University of Tokyo
Kenichiro Sasae, President, JIIA
Tom Christensen, Columbia University
5:15pm - 5:35pm
Rapporteurs' review of symposium discusisons
5:35pm - 5:45pm
Closing Remarks:
Karl Eikenberry, Director, US-Asia Security Initiative, APARC, Stanford University
Kenichiro Sasae, President, JIIA
5:45pm - 6:30pm
Reception (Encina Lobby)
