Government is key to understanding China's future
Over the past three decades, China's government, economy, and society have been undergoing a transformation, the momentum of which has intensified in recent years. Stanford sociologist Xueguang Zhou has been conducting a detailed ethnographic study in a rural township a few hours' drive from Beijing in order to understand these changes, especially in terms of China's political institutions. He is also beginning research about the behavior of urban government organizations and about the trajectory of personnel mobility in the Chinese bureaucracy.
Zhou's rural governance study branched out into three interrelated directions.
He has been studying agricultural markets, including: how they have been taking
shape and evolving over time, how harvests are conducted, and where local
elites and farmers interact with large outside companies. China's rural
election system, which Zhou suggests has become more institutionalized in the
past six to eight years, has been another area of focus. He has examined how
the system was first established, and how it has evolved into its current
shape. Finally, he has followed patterns of government behavior within the
context of the significant changes now underway in China.
"From a research point of view, this is really a critical moment
in the Chinese economic transformation.
-Xueguang Zhou
FSI Senior Fellow and Kwoh-Ting Li Professor in Economic Development
Gradually shifting his focus to the study of China's urban political
institutions, Zhou has been working with a doctoral candidate from Peking
University to study the behavior of urban government bureaus for the past three
years, and they are now working on articles highlighting the major findings
from this research. In addition, Zhou is in the process of selecting urban
sites in which to conduct a more prolonged and detailed study similar to his
rural township project. He is also working with a Stanford master's student to
analyze twenty years of government personnel data, tracing the movement of
specific individuals across offices and bureaus as they have been promoted
through the bureaucratic system. "It is all a public record," says Zhou, "but
once you piece these trajectories together, they shed light on the inner working
of, and dynamics in, the Chinese bureaucracy."
China's overall transformation has greatly accelerated in the past decade, and
even as urban life is changing, life in rural areas around China's coastal
megalopolises is perhaps changing even more quickly. Zhou suggests that within
the next five to ten years the contribution of China's shrinking rural areas
towards the country's GDP will become quite insignificant. "The speed is really
just astonishing," he emphasizes. As cities expand, local governments purchase
up land from rural residents for commercial development projects like shopping
centers and apartment complexes. Real estate is a huge source of income for
city governments and so there has been an aggressive push toward urbanization.
As a result, says Zhou: "Millions of rural residents lost their land and became
urban overnight without any relevant work skills." Although they are
compensated to various degrees for their land, the bigger question is how this
will affect the new city dwellers and their families in the future as they must
develop new skills and adapt to the social and environmental conditions of
urban life.
"From a research point of view," states Zhou, "This is really a critical moment
in the Chinese economic transformation: the way that they deal with the process
of urbanization will have tremendous consequences for the years to come because
it is creating so much tension and social conflict." Even away from coastal
areas, government-driven urbanization is taking place everywhere in China—even
in provinces with vast expanses of remote land like Xinjiang. "This is exactly
why you want to study government," maintains Zhou. "Because they play a key
role in this process." Understanding China's government institutional
structures, its decision-making processes, and the way that resources are
mobilized will lead the way to better understanding about the future impact of
these decisions that are now so rapidly changing both the rural and urban
landscape.
SPRIE executive training session offers Chinese enterprise leaders insights into innovation
From how failure drives innovation to the role of government in supporting entrepreneurship, two expert professors at Stanford led a training session for executives from Chinese state-owned enterprises (SOE) as part of the 2011 Cisco China 21st Century Enterprise Leader Program (ELP) hosted by Stanford Program on Regions of Innovation and Entrepreneurship (SPRIE) on March 22, 2011.
Professor William F. Miller, Co-Director of SPRIE, kicked off the session with a stimulating presentation on Silicon Valley's habitat for innovation. He pointed out that turning technology into business was the essence of Silicon Valley, and a favorable business, social and political environment in the region had facilitated the process. Despite the emergence of other venture capital locations, Silicon Valley scooped up almost 40% of venture deals and dollars across the U.S. in the last quarter of 2010, according to the MoneyTree Report.
The "restless pioneer spirit" of Stanford had always played a crucial role in the effective interaction between research institutes and industry, Miller argued.
Following Miller's discussion of features of Silicon Valley's entrepreneurial habitat, William Barnett, Thomas M. Siebel Professor of Business Leadership, Strategy, and Organizations at the Stanford Graduate School of Business, shared his thoughts on how to discover successful business models.
"Having great technologies is not enough," said Barnett. "Entrepreneurs are like scientists. Successful business models are learned from failures." Barnett encouraged the leaders present to create a working environment within which failure would be tolerated. He further urged them to accelerate the learning process by asking what might go wrong.
The purpose of the SPRIE session, which is part of a 12-day US-based program organized by Cisco Systems and China's State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC), is to help the SOE executives understand how to foster innovation and to drive operational excellence. The delegation is composed of SASAC officials, Peking University professors and leaders from 17 SOEs in China, including Southern Power Grid, Three Gorges Corporation, China Telecom, China Unicom, China Mobile, China FAW Group, Harbin Electric Corp., Anshan Iron and Steel Group, Baosteel Group, China Ocean Shipping Company, China Eastern Airlines, China Oil and Foodstuffs Corporation, State Development and Investment Corporation, China Merchants, China Railway Group and China Railway Construction.
Japan After the Great Tohoku Quake: Energy, Economy and Politics
This panel of experts will look at how Japan has responded to a still unfolding tragedy of unprecedented historical proportions and examine what this challenge may mean for the future of Japan's energy policy, economy, politics and relations with the rest of the world.
Michio Harada, Deputy Consul General of the Consulate General of Japan in San Francisco, was born in Okayama Prefecture. He joined Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs in 1979 and spent the next 30 years working around the world in various positions, including: First Secretary, Consulate General of Japan in New York City; Assistant Director of the WTO Affairs Division, Embassy of Japan in Malaysia; and Consul and Director of the Economic Affairs Bureau, Policy Planning and Administration Division, Consulate General of Japan in Hong Kong. Harada graduated from Okayama University where he majored in law.
Philippines Conference Room
Phillip Lipscy
Phillip Y. Lipscy was the Thomas Rohlen Center Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Assistant Professor of Political Science at Stanford University until August 2019. His fields of research include international and comparative political economy, international security, and the politics of East Asia, particularly Japan.
Lipscy’s book from Cambridge University Press, Renegotiating the World Order: Institutional Change in International Relations, examines how countries seek greater international influence by reforming or creating international organizations. His research addresses a wide range of substantive topics such as international cooperation, the politics of energy, the politics of financial crises, the use of secrecy in international policy making, and the effect of domestic politics on trade. He has also published extensively on Japanese politics and foreign policy.
Lipscy obtained his PhD in political science at Harvard University. He received his MA in international policy studies and BA in economics and political science at Stanford University. Lipscy has been affiliated with the Reischauer Institute of Japanese Studies and Weatherhead Center for International Affairs at Harvard University, the Institute of Social Science at the University of Tokyo, the Institute for Global and International Studies at George Washington University, the RAND Corporation, and the Institute for International Policy Studies.
For additional information such as C.V., publications, and working papers, please visit Phillip Lipscy's homepage.
New Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellows
After completing the postdoc program, I landed a dream academic job, where I can continue to research health policy with a focus on the Asia-Pacific region. Despite its relatively short period, my postdoc experience also helped expand the scope of my research and the breadth of professional network.
-Dr. Young Kyung Do
Former Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow (2008–09)
The Asia Health Policy Program (AHPP) at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) is pleased to announce that Ang Sun has been awarded the 2011–12 Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellowship. Sun is currently completing her PhD in development economics at Brown University. She earned bachelor degrees in computer science and economics from Peking University in 2002. Sun's research focuses on resource allocation within households, especially in developing Asia. In her dissertation, she provides empirical evidence that the 2001 divorce law in China empowered women and decreased sex-selective abortion. She has also studied multi-generational living arrangements and household decisions about fertility and labor-force participation.
We also are delighted to announce that Yuki Takagi, currently completing her PhD in government at Harvard University, will be the 2012-13 Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow. Takagi is completing her dissertation on the political economy of insurance provision and intergenerational family transfers, such as nursing and childcare, focusing on East Asia. She has earned bachelor of economics and master of law degrees from the University of Tokyo. Takagi will join Shorenstein APARC after completing a postdoctoral fellowship in the Department of Politics at Princeton University in 2011–12.
The research of these two postdoctoral fellows will complement the Shorenstein APARC research initiative on demographic change in East Asia.
The Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellowship is designed to strengthen research in the field of Asian comparative health policy and demographic change, drawing from junior scholars in a variety of disciplines, including: demography, sociology, political science, economics, law, anthropology, public policy, health services research, and related fields. Fellows participate in AHPP events and collaborative research while completing their own projects on health policy or the social and economic implications of population aging in Asia.
Previous postdoctoral fellows in the program have accepted faculty positions in Asia and the United States. Dr. Young Kyung Do (2008–09), who earned his PhD from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, is now an assistant professor at the Duke-National University of Singapore Graduate Medical School. Dr. Brian Chen (2009–10), who earned his PhD in 2009 from the University of California, Berkeley, has accepted a faculty position at the Arnold School of Public Health at the University of South Carolina. The current postdoctoral fellow, Dr. Qiulin Chen, earned his PhD from Peking University. He studies the political economy of China's health reforms as well as how China compares to other countries in terms of public and private intergenerational transfers (the China component of the National Transfer Accounts project).
Thoughts from the postdoctoral fellows
Dr. Do notes that "given that the primary goal of most postdoc programs is to help fresh PhD graduates prepare a successful academic career, my postdoc experience at Stanford['s Shorenstein] APARC has proved to be effective in my professional career thus far. After completing the postdoc program, I landed a dream academic job, where I can continue to research health policy with a focus on the Asia-Pacific region. Despite its relatively short period, my postdoc experience also helped expand the scope of my research and the breadth of professional network."
Dr. Chen adds that "the postdoctoral position opened many more doors than I had coming directly out of my Ph.D. program... The support I received was phenomenal... The wider Stanford community affords the postdoctoral fellow the opportunity to meet and interact with leading scholars of virtually any field in the arts and sciences."
The new postdoctoral fellows anticipate similarly stimulating experiences at Stanford: Takagi says she is "delighted and excited" to accept the fellowship, and Sun emphasizes that she appreciates "the opportunity to spend one year at such a prestigious place as the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center at Stanford, which will be a very nice start of my research career."
Successful entrepreneurs respond to global trends
Go out there and change the world.
- Tim Draper, Draper Fisher Jurvetson
"Whatever the world looks
like now, it will change," said Tim
Draper, founder and managing director of Draper Fisher Jurvetson (DFJ),
during the keynote session at the March 1 Entrepreneurship in the Global Marketplace seminar, organized by the Stanford Program on
Regions of Innovation and Entrepreneurship (SPRIE) with sponsorship from
Alibaba.com, the first in a series of seminars by the Schwarzenegger Emerging
Entrepreneur Initiative. Concluding his remarks, Draper urged the overflow
audience: "Go out there and change the world."
Draper and the nine other participants shared different perspectives on
entrepreneurship, but a key message underlying all of the presentations was
that the world is a dynamic, rapidly changing place where entrepreneurs can
succeed by anticipating and responding to global trends. In doing so, many
suggested, it is also possible to change the world—for the better. The
participants all concurred that China is one of the key places in the world—now
and in the future—to do business, representing a challenging but a vast
frontier of opportunity.
Global demographic trends are a major factor that venture capitalists consider
when making investments. Addressing the worldwide aging phenomenon, which is
particularly acute in Asia-Pacific countries such as Japan and China, Draper
explained how DFJ has invested in a company that manufactures videogame-like
devices designed to improve cognition, noting the growing market for such
devices that help keep cognitive health apace with a longer life span. Hans Tung, a partner with the
Shanghai-based venture capital firm Qiming Ventures, described how his firm is
tracking the large segment of China's population living in small cities away
from commercial hubs. These members of the populace, who prefer to shop online
where they can find a wider selection of goods than in their local shopping
malls, are quickly becoming a driving force in China's e-commerce market.
It is China's e-commerce and other Internet firms—fueled by the explosion of
Internet users—that carry increasingly significant weight in China's domestic
and the global economy. Duncan Clark,
a visiting scholar at SPRIE, presented related findings from SPRIE's China 2.0: The Rise of a Digital Superpower research initiative, which is led by Marguerite
Gong Hancock, associate director of SPRIE. China 2.0, explores the
conditions generating such rapid growth of the Internet, and investigates
questions surrounding the possible global implications of it. Clark noted that
as China's three largest Internet firms—search engine Baidu, instant-messaging
service Tencent, and e-commerce portal Taobao—expand, domestic competition will
not only intensify, but move further into the global economic arena. The "big
three" firms are already ranked among the top 20 Internet sites in the world
based on site traffic. According to Clark, the key question in the future for
U.S. companies will be how to partner with Chinese companies in order to insure
their own growth.
Riding the global wave of innovation and entrepreneurship, Jonathan Ross Shriftman, co-founder of Solé Bicycle Company, and Ryder Fyrwald, vice president of global
operations at the Kairos Society, have discovered opportunities to effect
positive change despite a global climate of intense economic competition.
Shriftman, a recent University of Southern California (USC) graduate, described
the lessons that he has learned through his company's quest to manufacture
low-cost, quality fixed-gear bicycles that provide a stylish, alternate form of
transportation. Despite funding and language challenges, Shriftman and his
partner succeeded in connecting with a manufacturer in China through
Alibaba.com, and have sold nearly 800 bicycles to date. Fyrwald, who is still
an undergraduate at USC's Marshall School of Business, explained the philosophy
behind the Kairos Society, an international network of student entrepreneurs
who seek to solve world issues through entrepreneurship and innovation. He
cited the example of WaterWalla, a company that has developed, among other
technologies, a low-cost water purification device for use by urban slum
dwellers.
From the perspective of seasoned venture capitalists Draper and Tung and
emerging entrepreneurs Shriftman and Fyrwald, the message at Entrepreneurship in the Global Marketplace was clear: the way to succeed in a rapidly changing world is to react
promptly—and creatively—to global trends. And, as Shriftman suggested, it is
possible to "do well by doing good," and change the world in a positive way.
Life after Google? The Way Forward for US Internet Firms and Investors in China
About the seminar
As China's Internet population surges towards the half billion mark—double the United States—how are U.S. Internet companies faring in China? Google, Facebook, eBay, Yahoo and others have all faced challenges in China. These include external (competition, regulation/censorship) and internal (management, strategy). Can these firms find a viable position in China? Will emerging players such as Groupon fare any better? Although U.S. Internet companies have struggled, U.S. institutional investors have reaped rich rewards from stakes in leading Chinese firms such as Tencent, Baidu and Alibaba/Taobao. Is this approach a better bet than hoping that U.S. firms gain a foothold in China? If leading Chinese Internet firms continue to dominate their home market, do they stand a chance to succeed internationally including through expansion or M&A in the US?
About the Speaker
Duncan Clark is Chairman of BDA China, a company he founded in Beijing in 1994. Previously, Duncan was an investment banker with Morgan Stanley in London and Hong Kong, where he focused on telecommunications, media and technology (TMT) transactions.
He has guided BDA to become the leading consultancy servicing participants and investors in the TMT sectors in China and India. With a team of over 50 in Beijing and an office of 15 in New Delhi (opened in 2006), BDA has in recent years added to TMT an advisory capacity serving leading private equity firms investing in other fast-growing sectors in these countries such as education, retail and alternative energy.
Clark holds a B.Sc degree in economics with honors from the London School of Economics and Political Science, and currently chairs the school's alumni group in China. A UK citizen, Clark was raised in the UK, the United States and France.
Media X is the partner of this seminar.
Philippines Conference Room
Understanding China's home-grown social media
Thomas Crampton, who oversees social media strategy in the Asia-Pacific region for the marketing and communications company Ogilvy and Mather, spoke to a standing room only audience at a seminar hosted by SPRIE about how controls imposed by the Chinese government have created a vibrant and unique social media domestic ecosystem.
Daniel C. Sneider, associate director for research at Shorenstein Asian-Pacific Research Center, also shared his views on the issue of the role of the internet and social media in social and political change.
Much has been written of late about the PRC government's efforts to control and censor the internet. The government's censorship of websites is an important issue, but it is not the top priority of the country's 420 million internet users or netizens. Their top priority is to connect with other Chinese online. The internet has opened access to information for ordinary Chinese citizens in ways that were unimaginable just a few years ago. Coming from a world where information was pre-filtered by editors at state-run media, China's internet is freewheeling by comparison.
"China's government officials are the most savvy in understanding the power of social media and actively trying to shape its use," Crampton noted at the talk. Rather than eliminate social media, restrictions on foreign websites and social media have resulted in a flourishing home-grown, state-approved ecosystem in which Chinese-owned properties thrive. YouTube, Facebook, and Twitter have faced blockage in China, but their Chinese equivalents are expanding. According to the official statistics from the China Internet Network Information Center (CNNIC) , the number of Chinese netizens reached 420 million at the end of June 2010. But their patterns of use vary from those in other countries. Quoting a 2008 MTV Music Matters survey, Crampton showed a graph that young people across Asia have made a similar number of friends online and offline. Only in China, however, young people actually have more friends online than offline. This points to a convergence of the offline and online worlds, where it is less important to distinguish between what happens online from the "real world." In China, more than in many countries, social media has become deeply integrated into people's lives.
China's government officials are the most savvy in understanding the power of social media and actively trying to shape its use.
- Thomas Crampton, Ogilvy and MatherIn China, as elsewhere in Asia, local variations of internet usage are driven by language, culture, levels of economic development, and the underlying digital ecosystem. For example, rather than short videos popular on YouTube, China's Youku and Tudou are filled with longer form of content, up to 70 percent of which is professionally produced, though individual Chinese users produce and post videos too. Users in China spend up to an hour per day on these sites, compared with less than 15 minutes spent by Americans on YouTube. In the way they present programs, the Chinese sites seem more like online television stations or a replacement for digital video recorders.
Twitter vs. Sina Weibo
Crampton cited another difference between Chinese and foreign social media that is rooted in language. At first glance, Sina Weibo is a latecomer to the microblog phenomenon. Launched in 2009, just about three years after Twitter, it is by far the most popular microblogging platform in China.
Similar to Twitter, Sina Weibo allows users to post 140-character messages, and users can follow friends and find interesting comments posted by others. Small but important differences in the platform have made some say it is a Twitter clone, but better. For example, unlike Twitter, Sina Weibo allows users to post videos and photos, comment on other people's updates, and easily add comments when re-posting a friend's message.
Though mobile phones are used to send less than 20 percent of Twitter updates in the United States, nearly half of Sina Weibo's updates are sent via mobile phone. This phenomenon points to the growth of China's mobile internet, one of the biggest trends in China and Asia.
Perhaps the most striking difference between Chinese and foreign social media, however, is the length of communications expressed via microblogs in Chinese versus English. One measure is to look at what Dell Inc., a company skilled at social media, can communicate on microblogs in Chinese compared to English. Twitter holds messages to 140 characters, which is quite short in English, especially if users want to include a URL. Dell often uses its Twitter feed, @delloutlet, to promote special offers, such as this posting: "Today's Deal: Get FREE Eco-Lite Sleeve with the purchase of any Dell Outlet Insprion Mini 10 or 10v Netbook! http://bit.ly/77fUFG." This message came in at 136 characters, almost the maximum length.
Since each character in Chinese is a word, @delldirect, Dell's Chinese-language feed, can write much more using the Chinese-language Zuosa microblogging platform. As translated by Ogilvy's Beijing team, a similar message reads: "Dell's National Day Sale runs from Sept. 11 to Oct. 8. To celebrate the 60th anniversary with the motherland, Dell Home Computers is offering 6 cool gifts and deals on 10 computer models. These exciting offers will run non-stop for 4 weeks. Also, get a free upgrade to color casing and a 512MB independent graphics card, as well as other service upgrades. All offers are on a first-come, first-served basis. What are you waiting for? Act now!" Even with a message of this length-114 characters in Chinese-there is still enough space to put in a webpage link. In other words, 114 characters in Chinese translates into 434 characters in English, well beyond the text limit of a "tweet" in English. This language efficiency turns microblogging in China into a more blog-like platform.