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In Beijing’s bustling Chaoyang District stands a multi-story building known as the Gonghe Senior Apartments: a 400-bed nursing home for middle-income seniors who are disabled or suffer from dementia. Why is Gonghe unique and why is it worth considering? Because Gonghe is a public-private partnership (PPP), a collaborative organizational structure supported by the District Civil Affairs Bureau Welfare Division that donated the land and building and the nonprofit Yuecheng Senior Living that operates the facility. And because PPPs like Gonghe might just be the right model to address the challenges surrounding elderly care in China as well as in other nations that face a looming burden of population aging.

This was a core message shared by Alan Trager, founder and president of the PPP Initiative Ltd., who spoke at a special workshop organized by Shorenstein APARC’s Asia Health Policy Program (AHPP). Focused on PPPs in health and long-term care in China, the workshop was part of a two-day convening related to the Innovation for Healthy Aging project, a collaborative research project led by APARC Deputy Director and AHPP Director Karen Eggleston that identifies and analyzes productive public-private partnerships advancing healthy aging solutions in East Asia and other regions.

The Innovation for Healthy Aging project is driven by the imperative to respond to a world that is aging rapidly. This demographic transition, reminded Trager at the opening of his talk, is a defining issue of our time, as aging is a multisectoral issue that increases the demand for health care, long-term care, and a large number of other social services. The aging challenge is exacerbated by its convergence with the rising prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), also known as chronic diseases. For while NCDs affect all age groups, they account for the highest burden among the elderly.

China: Ground Zero for Global Aging

Alan Trager in Highly Immersive Classroom Alan Trager discusses health and long-term care in China in the GSB's Highly Immersive Classroom
Alan Trager discusses health and long-term care in China in the GSB's Highly Immersive Classroom (Photo: Noa Ronkin)


The need to advance healthy aging and NCD prevention is a matter of grave concern in China, whose older population is larger than in any other country. Moreover, the aging challenge in China is interwoven with unique social trends. In particular, filial piety—which, for thousands of years, has been a fundamental family value and a mainstay of health and elder care—is under pressure, as young people strive to balance the demands of careers, fewer children per family, and migrating to cities for school and work, without affordable housing or long-term care financing support for their parents and other elderly relatives, who often stay in rural areas.

China’s health system is yet to adapt to the shift in the disease burden and health care needs driven by the aging population. Its existing health insurance programs are insufficient for outpatient management and care of chronic conditions, and as Trager emphasized, there is a lack of investment in training geriatric medicine professionals and incorporating geriatric principles into clinical practice.

How can China meet the high demand for elder care, increase workforce capacity, and promote healthy aging?

The answer, claims Trager, lies in developing multisector, integrated solutions to the challenges posed by population aging. While system-level efforts, such as building the social protection system and sustaining universal health coverage, continue to be led by the government, PPPs can play a major role in capacity building to ensure the sustainability of such systems through the advancement of technology, human resources, and innovation. Trager shared PPP Initiative Ltd.’s recent efforts to develop PPP solutions for aging populations in China and elsewhere. The workshop was held on October 10 at the Stanford GSB’s Highly Immersive Classroom, which is equipped with advanced video conferencing technology that allows participants in Palo Alto and at the Stanford Center at Peking University to collaborate in real-time. Experts from Beijing joined the discussion and followed Trager’s presentation with comments on how to move from awareness to action.

Private Efforts, Public Value

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John Donahue, Karen Eggleston, and Richard Zeckhauser in conversation at the entrance to Encina Hall, Stanford.

From left to right: John Donahue, Karen Eggleston, Richard Zeckhauser. (Photo: Thom Holme)

Public-private collaborations—or rather collaborative governance–in China as well as in the United States is the subject of an upcoming volume co-authored by Eggleston with Harvard scholars Richard Zeckhauser and John Donahue. Both Zeckhauser and Donahue joined Eggleston the following day, October 11, at an AHPP-hosted seminar to discuss this upcoming publication, titled Private Roles for Public Goals in China and the United States: Contracting, Collaboration, and Delegation.

Eggleston, Donahue, and Zeckhauser define collaborative governance as private engagement in public tasks on terms of shared discretion, where each partner bears responsibilities for certain areas. Their upcoming book explores public-private collaborations in China and the United States, two countries where public needs require solutions that far outstrip the capacities of their governments alone. Beyond considering merely health and elderly care, the book features research into public and private roles in the governance of multiple other sectors, including education, transport infrastructure, affordable housing, social services, and civil society.

At the seminar, the three scholars reviewed different models of private efforts providing public value, outlined the justifications for collaborative governance, and explained some of the conditions that make such collaborative partnerships productive and valuable. They emphasized the need to account for the unique contexts in China and the United States and to steer clear of one-size-fits-all solutions.

Imperative for the Young Generation

One thing, they all agree, applies to both countries: government collaboration with private entities is inevitable if China and the United States are to achieve their articulated goals and meet rapidly increasing demand for high-end public services.

This sentiment echoed a claim Trager made the preceding day: a tidal wave of noncommunicable diseases in an aging world is approaching us quickly and governments cannot handle it alone. Young people must care about advancing creative solutions to this pressing problem because they will be the ones who will pay for the consequences if we get it wrong.

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In this recent lecture at Cornell University’s Contemporary China Initiative, Karen Eggleston, Shorenstein APARC deputy director and the Asia Health Policy Program director, talks about China’s health system reforms, including progress to date in achieving effective universal coverage, priorities set in the national health meetings, Healthy China 2030 goals, and local experiments in strengthening patient-centered integrated care.

 

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Sarita Panday joined the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) as the 2018-19 Developing Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow.  Panday completed her doctorate at the School of Health and Related Research at the University of Sheffield, which explores the role of female community health volunteers in maternal health service provision in Nepal. Her research interests include health service delivery, primary healthcare and human resources for health and global health.

During her fellowship at Shorenstein APARC, Panday examined the relationship between payment and performance of community health workers in South Asia. She will also recommend strategies for systems that incentivize workers to contribute to healthcare improvement in resource-poor communities. Panday completed a Masters in Public Health and Health Management from the University of New South Wales and a Bachelor of Science in Nursing at the BP Koirala Institute of Health Sciences. Besides research, she has worked in various parts of Nepal, including in remote conflict-laden areas.
2018-2019 Developing Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow
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Toshiaki Iizuka is Professor at Graduate School of Public Policy and Graduate School of Economics, the University of Tokyo. Before joining the University of Tokyo in 2010, he taught at Vanderbilt University (2001-2005), Aoyama Gakuin University (2005-2009), and Keio University (2009-2010). He served as Dean of Graduate School of Public Policy, the University of Tokyo, between 2016 and 2018. He is a recipient of Abe Fellowship (2018-2019). 

His research interests are in the field of health economics and health policy. He has written a number of articles on incentive and information in the health care markets. His research articles have appeared in leading professional journals, including American Economic Review, RAND Journal of Economics, Journal of Health Economics, and Health Affairs, among others. Dr. Iizuka holds a PhD in Economics from the University of California, Los Angeles, an MIA from Columbia University, and an ME and BE from the University of Tokyo.
Visiting Scholar, Asia Health Policy Program at APARC
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In the summer of 2018, the Asia Health Policy Program (AHPP) at the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (co)hosted two conferences in Beijing. From June 25-26, AHPP hosted “Healthy Aging and Chronic Disease Management in China and India in International Comparison” at the Stanford Center at Peking University in Beijing. Immediately following the event, June 26-27 AHPP cohosted, along with Professor Fang Hai, Peking University China Center for Health Development Studies, the “Fourth Annual Conference on Primary Care and China’s Health System Reform”, focused this year on China’s family doctor system.

Healthy Aging and Chronic Disease

Day one of the Healthy Aging and Chronic Disease Management conference combined discussions of chronic disease control in India and China (part of an ongoing SCPKU Team Innovation faculty fellowship) with a workshop focused on assessing net value of diabetes management across Asia.

Research teams from Hong Kong, South Korea, India, Taiwan, and the United States convened to discuss research on net value analysis of diabetes in their respective countries. The Net Value in Diabetes Management project seeks to develop a method for measuring net value of diabetes internationally­–based on previous methods discussed in an 2009 study by Karen Eggleston and Joseph Newhouse with data from the Mayo Clinic for Type 2 Diabetes.

The research teams provided updates to their calculations from the gathering last year and explained the strengths and weaknesses of their data sets, the risk prediction model they employed or created for their specific population, and the cost effectiveness analyses conducted with their data.

Participants included Kavita Singh from the Public Health Foundation of India, Janet Lam from Hong Kong University, Hongsoo Kim and Wankyo Chung from Seoul National University, Rachel Lu and Ying Isabel Chen of Chang Gung University Taiwan, and Kyueun Lee and Karen Eggleston of Stanford University.

Non-communicable/Chronic Disease Control

The afternoon of day one featured presentations by various representatives from provincial and national-level Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in China regarding non-communicable disease (NCD) control initiatives.

Dong Jianqun from the People’s Republic of China CDC presented the “Effect of Community-Based 5+1 staged diabetes management.” This research project–fielded in sites in three different provinces–involved staged diabetes targeting management. Results showed that examination rates for complications management increased. Fang Le from the Zhejiang Provincial CDC presented updates on community management of NCDs in Zhejiang, including the intensive follow-up system for high risk diabetes patients. Representatives from Shandong University and the Shandong CDC, including Dr. WANG Yan, presented “The Status, Problems, and Determinants of community management and control of diabetes in Shandong Province” while also discussing current policy and implementation.

The afternoon ended in a session comparing health care systems and ongoing initiatives for chronic disease control in China and India. Kavita Singh discussed issues in India’s health system, including high out of pocket expenditure, over-privatization, and large health inequities across states and between urban and rural areas. Singh introduced existing innovations being used, including smartphone-based decision support software in heart disease monitoring. Dong Jianqun and colleagues discussed NCD control in China, including the demonstration areas that have integrated initiatives including better surveillance and management of diabetes and hypertension, and prevention education.

The first conference closed the next morning by bringing together representatives from various Chinese organizations to discuss the current state of primary care, family doctor system, and health care reform within the country. During a highly immersive classroom session for the Diabetes Net Value Teams, Dr. Sanjay Basu shared insights regarding best practices in predictive risk modeling.

China’s Family Doctor System

Beginning the afternoon of June 26, the second conference was devoted to China’s family doctor system, primary care, and health care reforms.  The event opened with remarks from Zhuang Ning, Deputy Director of the State Department of Health, System Reform Department, about the importance of community health and greater recognition of primary health providers in China.

The director’s remarks were followed by an opening keynote address by Professor MENG Qingyue, Dean of the Peking University School of Public Health and Director of the China Center for Health Development Studies at Peking University. Professor Meng reflected on the role of primary care in the development of China’s health system. Qin Jiangmei, Director of the Community Health Research Center, National Health and Family Planning Commission Health Development Research Center, next introduced the necessity of comprehensive health reform in China as well as funding challenges.

Afterwards, representatives from the Beijing Dongcheng district, Shanghai Changning district,  Xiamen City, and Shenzhen Luohu Hospital Group shared their experiences constructing family doctor systems within their respective regions. Important points stressed by the presenters included consolidation, maintaining a good evaluation system, and establishing trust with their patients.

The day ended with a Primary Medical Care Roundtable Discussion featuring four directors of district-level community health centers. The panelists answered questions concerning the future model of primary care in China, as well as changes they would like to see at the community and policy levels. The district directors advocated that more funds be allocated to general practitioners, believing that they will be the dominant form of primary care in China. Participants also spoke of the additional need for clearer targets to ensure that primary care providers are better funded (so that, with enough time, patients will begin to recognize the importance of the family physician).

The second conference concluded on June 27 by way of a highly engaging classroom session on the continuing collaboration between the Zhejiang Provincial CDC and Stanford University Asia Health Policy Program.

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A favorite icon for cigarette manufacturers across China since the mid-twentieth century has been the panda, with factories from Shanghai to Sichuan using cuddly cliché to market tobacco products. The proliferation of panda-branded cigarettes coincides with profound, yet poorly appreciated, shifts in the worldwide tobacco trade. Over the last fifty years, transnational tobacco companies and their allies have fueled a tripling of the world's annual consumption of cigarettes. At the forefront is the China National Tobacco Corporation, now producing forty percent of cigarettes sold globally. What's enabled the manufacturing of cigarettes in China to flourish since the time of Mao and to prosper even amidst public health condemnation of smoking? 

 

In Poisonous Pandas, an interdisciplinary group of scholars comes together to tell that story. They offer novel portraits of people within the Chinese polity—government leaders, scientists, tax officials, artists, museum curators, and soldiers—who have experimentally revamped the country's pre-Communist cigarette supply chain and fitfully expanded its political, economic, and cultural influence. These portraits cut against the grain of what contemporary tobacco-control experts typically study, opening a vital new window on tobacco—the single largest cause of preventable death worldwide today.

You can read the Introduction and Chapter 1 online.

About the editors

 
Matthew Kohrman is Associate Professor of Anthropology at Stanford University.
 
Gan Quan is the Director of Tobacco Control of the International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease.
 
Liu Wennan is Editor for the Institute of Modern History at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

 

Robert N. Proctor is Professor of the History of Science at Stanford University.
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Improving the quality of primary care may reduce avoidable hospital admissions. Avoidable admissions for conditions such as diabetes are used as a quality metric in the Health Care Quality Indicators of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Using the OECD indicators, we compared avoidable admission rates and spending for diabetes-related complications in Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong, and rural and peri-urban Beijing, China, in the period 2008–14. We found that spending on diabetes-related avoidable hospital admissions was substantial and increased from 2006 to 2014. Annual medical expenditures for people with an avoidable admission were six to twenty times those for people without an avoidable admission. In all of our study sites, when we controlled for severity, we found that people with more outpatient visits in a given year were less likely to experience an avoidable admission in the following year, which implies that primary care management of diabetes has the potential to improve quality and achieve cost savings. Effective policies to reduce avoidable admissions merit investigation.

 

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Natt Hongdilokkul joins the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) during the 2017-2018 academic year as a postdoctoral scholar in Developing Asia Health policy. His research interests concern the effect of universal health care on household outcomes and welfare using micro-level panel data in Thailand. He received a PhD and an MA in Economics from Simon Fraser University, Canada, and another MA and a BA in Economics from Thammasat University, Thailand.

Developing Asia Health Policy Postdoctoral Fellow, 2017-18
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Health insurance holds the promise of improving population health and survival and protecting people from catastrophic health spending. Yet evidence from lower- and middle-income countries on the impact of health insurance is limited. We investigated whether insurance expansion reduced adult mortality in rural China, taking advantage of differences across Chinese counties in the timing of the introduction of the New Cooperative Medical Scheme (NCMS). We assembled and analyzed newly collected data on NCMS implementation, linked to data from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention on cause-specific, age-standardized death rates and variables specific to county-year combinations for seventy-two counties in the period 2004–12. While mortality rates declined among rural residents during this period, we found little evidence that the expansion of health insurance through the NCMS contributed to this decline. However, our relatively large standard errors leave open the possibility that the NCMS had effects on mortality that we could not detect. Moreover, mortality benefits might arise only after many years of accumulated coverage.

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Rural areas of China have made remarkable progress in reducing adult mortality within the past 15 years yet broadened health insurance was not a casual factor in that decline, according to a new study by an international research team that includes Asia Health Policy Program Director Karen Eggleston.

The New Cooperative Medical Scheme (NCMS), a government-subsidized insurance program that began in 2002-03, expanded to cover all of rural China within a decade. Examining NCMS and cause-specific mortality data for a sample of 72 counties between 2004 and 2012, the researchers found that there were no significant effects of health insurance expansion on increased life expectancy.

The study, published in the September issue of Health Affairs, showed results consistent with previous studies that also did not find a correlation between insurance and survival, although much research confirms NCMS increased access to healthcare, including preventive services, and shielded families from high health expenditures.

Commenting on the study, Eggleston said population health policies remain central to China’s efforts to increase life expectancy and to bridge the gap between rural and urban areas.

Eggleston also noted that multiple factors beyond the availability of health care determine how long people live, and anticipates the research team will continue to explore the impacts of NCMS by extending the study to look at infants and youth.

Read the study (may require subscription) and view a related article on the Stanford Scope blog.

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