2001-2002 A/PARC Visiting Fellows Research Paper Presentations 5/29
12:00 p.m. Akira Kobayashi, Japan Patent Office (DO) "How to Handle Patents in Venture Companies" 12:20 p.m. Joseph Huang, AllCan Investment Company (MH) "Venture Capitals and Entrepreneurship in the Silicon Valley and the Greater China Region" 12:40 p.m. Seishi Nakatani, Shiraimatsu Pharmaceutical (DO) "Evaluation of the IT Industry Potential" 1:00 p.m. Tetsuo Fujita, Japan Research Institute (GS) "The Role of Information Technology on the Economic Development of Japan" 1:20 p.m. Makoto Kawashima, Ministry of Finance (DO) "Recent Changes to the Banking Business Model and the U.S. Response" 1:40 p.m. Eui Yong Chung, Samsung Company (GS) "Collaboration Between the U.S. and Korea in the Semi-Conductor Industry"
Philippines Conference Room, Encina Hall East, Third Floor
Beijing Red Guard Factionalism: Social Interpretations Reconsidered
A generation of research on Red Guard politics has traced the origins of its debilitating factionalism to social and political divisions that were well established among students on the eve of the Cultural Revolution. These social interpretations impute political motives to student activists according to their positions in the pre-Cultural Revolution status quo. However, a closer examination of events during the summer and early autumn of 1966 in BeijingÑwhere the Red Guards and their factional divisions first emergedÑsuggests a different interpretation. Factions took shape when student activists from similar social backgrounds responded differently to ambiguous and rapidly changing political signals. These initial acts left students on opposite sides of a growing political divide and exposed them to unforeseen risks as the movement took unpredictable turns. In this interpretation, student divisions are rooted in political interactions in the early phases of the conflict itself. Red Guard factions did not emerge in Beijing as expressions of opposed group interests based on pre-existing social divisions, but as struggles to vindicate earlier actions and avoid the harsh fate of political victims.
Challenges of Peri-urbanization in the Lower Yangtze region: The Case of the Hanzhou-Ningbo Corridor
This discussion paper is based on analysis of peri-urbanization dynamics in the Hangzhou-Ningbo Corridor of the Lower Yangtze Region of China. The case-study area is of particular interest, both because of the scale of the phenomenon in the area and the fact that the corridor typifies the long-running and dynamic peri-urbanization process occurring in the Lower Yangtze Region as a whole, arguably the world's largest extended urban region (EUR). Analysis focuses on adaptation, successful and otherwise, to the severe stresses, demographic, social, and environmental, accompanying peri-urbanization. Policy implications are then drawn; anticipated future stresses in the case-study area, and by implication the larger extended urban region, are used to trigger recommendations.
Adjusted Estimates of the United States-China Trade Balances: 1995-2002
In a series of papers (Fung & Lau, 1996, 1998, 2001), we have argued that neither the U.S. nor the Chinese bilateral trade balance data are accurate. In this paper, we utilize the most up-to-date information and provide more accurate estimates. The adjustments include f.a.s.-f.o.b. and f.o.b.-c.i.f. conversion, re-exports via Hong Kong, re-export markups of Hong Kong middlemen and trade in services. With these adjustments, the best estimate of the U.S.-China bilateral trade balance in goods and services in 2002 is US$ 74.3 billion. This is a large figure, but is more than 25% smaller than the official estimate of the U.S. government.
Between a Rock and a Soft Place: The Political Economy of China's Software Sector
Although China's software industry has grown substantially over the past decade, it could have grown even more had it not been for several obstacles, the most important being rampant violations of the copyrights of software developers. In response to this situation, software companies and associations, domestic and foreign, have lobbied the Chinese government to adopt policies to help the industry. While they have had some lobbying success, in part thanks to both companies and relatively vibrant associations, the industry still faces large hurdles, and a basic dilemma: if it is to fully grow, the industry needs the government to adopt (and implement) more favorable policies, but the government for the moment is likely to be more influenced to adopt policies favored by competing interests that are economically and politically more powerful than the software industry. Scott Kennedy is an assistant professor in the Department of East Asian Languages and Cultures and an adjunct assistant professor in the Department of Political Science at Indiana University. He received his Ph.D in political science from George Washington University in 2002. His dissertation, "In the Company of Markets: The Transformation of China's Political Economy", examines the growth in business influence on the policy making process in China. He recently finished editing a book, "China Cross Talk: The American Debate over China Policy since Normalization, A Reader" which is an anthology of op-eds, congressional testimony, speeches and editorial cartoons that present the most memorable scenes from the debate of the past quarter century. Kennedy has published articles in numerous popular and academic periodicals, including The China Quarterly, Problems of Post-Communism, Asian Wall Street Journal, and the China Business Review. From 1993 to 1997, Kennedy was a research assistant at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC. He received his M.A. in international relations from Johns Hopkins University's Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies in 1992 and his B.A. in foreign affairs from University of Virginia in 1989. He has lived in China off and on for four years since the late 1980s, and has traveled throughout East Asia.
Okimoto Conference Room, Encina Hall, 3rd floor, East Wing
Technology, Intellectual Property & Venture Capital in China
Discussing Intellectual Property Reform in China: Li, Yahong, Hong Kong SAR, Fellow, Stanford Program in International Legal Studies
Discussing Capital Markets in China: Wang, Dequan, China, Fellow, Stanford Program in International Legal Studies.
Daniel and Nancy Okimoto Conference Room
Markets and Income Inequality in Rural China: Political Advantage in an Expanding Economy
When market reform generates rapid growth in an agrarian subsistence economy, changes in inequality may be due to economic growth and structural change rather than to the intrinsic features of markets. the case of post-Mao China is examined using nationally representative survey data gathered in 1996 to address unresolved questions about findings from 1980s surveys. Well into reform's second decade, political officeholding has a large net impact on household income -- comparable to that of operating a private enterprise. Contrary to findings based on <i>earlier</i> surveys and expectations about the impact of growth, cadre household advantages are stable across levels and forms of economic expansion. Returns to entrepreneurship, however, decline sharply with the spread of wage employment. Further declines in relative returns to political position are therefore unlikely to occur due to the further spread of private household entrepreneurship, and theories of changes based on this mechanism appear untenable.
Wages of Guilt: Memories of War in Germany and Japan
Ian Buruma was born in the Netherlands, where he studied Chinese at Leyden University. From 1975 to 1978 he was a research fellow in Japanese cinema at Nihon University College of Arts. He lived in Tokyo until 1980, and worked as a translator, actor, photographer, documentary filmmaker and journalist.
From 1982 to 1986, he was cultural editor for the Far Eastern Economic Review in Hong Kong. During that time he traveled to most parts of Asia. He moved to London in 1990, where he worked for one year as foreign editor for the Spectator. In 1991, he was a fellow at the Wissenschaftskolleg in Berlin. In 1990 he spent a year in Washington, D.C. at the Woodrow Wilson Center for International Scholars, and in 1991 he was the Alistair Horne Fellow at St. Anthony's College, Oxford.
Buruma is a regular contributor to The New York Review of Books, the New York Times Magazine, the New Republic, and other publications in the United States and Europe. He writes a weekly column for The Guardian in London.
Buruma's book The Wages of Guilt analyzes the collective memory of Germany and Japan in the post-war years. Delving into their emotions, thoughts and anger, Buruma tries to uncover how people in both countries dealt with, and are still dealing with, the stigma of being the war aggressors in very different ways.
Join us for a panel discussion of the issues raised in Buruma's book. The panel discussants are Professor's Daniel Okimoto, Shorenstein APARC and Political Science and James Sheehan, History. Professor Thomas Rohlen of Shorenstein APARC will be the moderator.
Bechtel Conference Center
Daniel I. Okimoto
A specialist on the political economy of Japan, Daniel Okimoto is a senior fellow emeritus of FSI, director emeritus of Shorenstein APARC, and a professor of political science emeritus at Stanford University. His fields of research include comparative political economy, Japanese politics, U.S.-Japan relations, high technology, economic interdependence in Asia, and international security.
During his 25-year tenure at Stanford, Okimoto served as a research fellow at the Hoover Institution and the Northeast Asia-United States Forum on International Policy, the predecessor organization to Shorenstein APARC, within CISAC. He also taught at the Aspen Institute for Humanistic Studies, the Stockholm School of Economics, and the Stanford Center in Berlin.
Okimoto co-founded Shorenstein APARC. He was the vice chairman of the Japan Committee of the National Research Council at the National Academy of Sciences, and of the Advisory Council of the Department of Politics at Princeton University. He received his BA in history from Princeton University, MA in East Asian studies from Harvard University, and PhD in political science from the University of Michigan.
He is the author of numerous books and articles, including Between MITI and the Market: Japanese Industrial Policy for High Technology; co-editor, with Takashi Inoguchi, of The Political Economy of Japan: International Context; and co-author, with Thomas P. Rohlen, of A United States Policy for the Changing Realities of East Asia: Toward a New Consensus.
The United States and China: A President's Perspective
As 39th President of the United States, Jimmy Carter's significant foreign-policy accomplishments included the Panama Canal treaties; the strategic arms limitation treaty (SALT II) signed with Soviet president Leonid Brezhnev; the Camp David Accords between Israeli premier Menachem Begin and Egyptian president Anwar el-Sadat; and the establishment of full diplomatic relations with the People's Republic of China.
A graduate of the United States Naval Academy, Mr. Carter's naval career took him to many parts of the world, including Asia. He rose to the rank of lieutenant, working under Admiral Hyman Rickover in the nuclear submarine program. President Carter's rise to political prominence began when he chaired the Sumter County School Board in his native Georgia. After serving as the first president of the Georgia Planning Association he was elected to the State Senate in 1962, followed by his election as state governor in 1971. He announced his candidacy for the United States presidency in 1974 and won the general election in 1976, thereby completing the most rapid ascent in modern American politics.
In 1982 Mr. Carter became University Distinguished Professor at Emory University in Atlanta. In partnership with the university he also founded The Carter Center, a nonpartisan, nonprofit organization actively promoting human rights, international conflict resolution, agriculture advancements in the developing world, and the prevention of disease. President Carter is the author of sixteen books, many now in revised editions, including most recently Talking Peace: A Vision for the Next Generation. President and Mrs. Carter are also regular volunteers for Habitat for Humanity, earning national recognition for an organization dedicated to building affordable housing for the needy.
The Oksenberg Lectures honor the memory of Professor Michel Oksenberg, who was a senior fellow at the Institute for International Studies. A pioneer in the field of Chinese politics, Mike was an important force in shaping American attitudes toward China, and was consistently outspoken about the need for the United States to be more thoughtful and informed in its engagement of Asia.
Professor Oksenberg was a cherished colleague here at the Asia/Pacific Research Center, and a beloved mentor to generations of China scholars. As a tribute to his legacy, the Shorenstein Forum has established The Oksenberg Lectures, to be delivered annually by a distinguished practitioner of America's affairs with Asia.
McCaw Hall
Francis C. Arrillaga Alumni Center
Galvez Street
Stanford University