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This study examines the likely security consequences of the continued growth in energy consumption in East Asia, and in particular:

  • The dimensions of that growth which are likely to have an effect on international
  • security.

  • The dependencies and insecurities created by that continued growth.
  • The policy guidance that can be derived for the United States from a review of those
  • dependencies and insecurities.

    The study concludes that:

    1. Energy supplies for East Asian economic growth, as well as for other anticipated energy needs in the world, can be available at prices that will not set growth back provided that international markets for fuels, exports, technologies, and capital continue to operate.

    2. The main source of insecurity connected with energy use will be the anticipation, on the part of countries partially or wholly dependent on imports of fuels and energy technologies, of political developments that would interfere with either energy-related imports or the exports needed to pay for them.

    3. Economic and technical solutions to the problems posed by economic and energy consumption growth in East Asia and elsewhere, and by their regional and global environmental impacts, exist if the political framework is available to carry them out. Seeking out and implementing those solutions would serve U.S. leadership and prosperity. As a result, a principal goal of U.S. policies will be to make politically possible the combination of economic and security policies needed to provide that framework. These policies are highly interactive: failure of economic policies, or even misperception of the nature and impact of economic policies, can greatly heighten security problems.

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    Publication Type
    Working Papers
    Publication Date
    Journal Publisher
    Shorenstein APARC
    Authors
    Number
    0-9653935-2-6
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    The first book available devoted exclusively to China's rural organizational change and the subsequent implications for rural societies and politics. Following China's successful decollectivization, diverse new organizational forms arose in response to different local situations. Yet the collective tradition did not die. The contributors dissect the closely structured relationships among the newly emerging class of rural entrepreneurs, local officials, and their family members and associates.

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    1
    Publication Type
    Books
    Publication Date
    Journal Publisher
    ME Sharpe in "Cooperative and Collective in China's Rural Development: Between State and Private Interest"
    Authors
    Jean C. Oi
    Number
    978-0-7656-0093-6
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    The three talks that make up this publication were the 1996–97 Walter H. Shorenstein Distinguished Lecture Series, titled Korea in the 21st Century, held on the Stanford campus in the fall and winter quarters. Each year, the Asia/Pacific Research Center, through the generous support of Mr. Shorenstein, holds a series of public lectures for the university community on some topic related to contemporary economic, political, and social trends in Asia. The lectures on Korea were the second in the Shorenstein series.

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    1
    Publication Type
    Working Papers
    Publication Date
    Journal Publisher
    Shorenstein APARC
    Authors
    Number
    0-9653935-1-8
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