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How much does it matter that Japan creates relatively few new high technology companies? Many observers estimate, or at least assume, that entrepreneurial dynamism and its associated innovations promote economic growth and in the long run are necessary for it. In recent years there has been much attention devoted to fostering such new firms in many countries, including Japan, with much of this interest derived from the example of Silicon Valley. Before the 1990s, after several decades of excellent performance by the Japanese industry, any observer noting that it had few new high tech companies would probably have met with indifference. Success spoke for itself. Now, after an economic plateau lasting over a decade, questions about the late and relatively small-scale emergence of high tech startups have become increasingly salient.

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Working Papers
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Shorenstein APARC
Authors
Henry S. Rowen
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In recent years,Korea has seen a remarkable diffusion in broadband Internet connections. This paper explores the actions and factors contributing to this diffusion from three viewpoints: public sector, private sector, and social.We suggest that the matching of demand and supply is the most important factor in the fast diffusion of broadband in Korea.In particular, fierce infrastructure competition has led to quality services at a low fixed price. We also consider two challenges that lie ahead: take-up of retail e-commerce applications, and the need to bridge the digital divide.

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Shorenstein APARC
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Foreign banks have long faced difficulties in attempting to enter certain Japanese financial markets. This is due partly to regulatory practices and partly to specific Japanese socioeconomic conditions, for instance the system of relationship banking. While retail banking is still a sector in which almost no foreigners have been able to succeed, some foreign financial institutions have been able to gain market share in investment and wholesale banking.

Today, Japanese financial markets offer a bizarre playing ground for foreign competitors.On the one hand, overdue reforms, deteriorating stock markets, and shockingly bad ratings should scare many foreigners away from making commitments to Japan's markets. On the other hand, it is just these problems and the dissatisfaction with the Japanese banking sector, as well as an increasing division of the Japanese economy into large global players and small domestic companies, that might help a few strong foreign banks with superior global capabilities overcome their liability of foreignness. Indeed, we assume that improved market opportunities for foreign banks in Japan are related to a fundamental lack of global capabilities on the part of Japanese financial institutions, despite their pronounced advantages as local players. In contemplating the future of foreign financial institutions in Japan, we propose three scenarios. Japan is often compared with Great Britain, where the term "Wimbledon effect" was coined after deregulation of Britain's financial markets--the "Big Bang"--resulted in the acquisition of many British banks by foreign companies. (The analogy refers to the fact that although Britain provides the world's foremost arena for tennis at Wimbledon, the winners of the Wimbledon tournament tend to be foreign players.) The Wimbledon effect would predict that market deregulation will strengthen the financial center but lead to asituation in which markets are dominated by foreign banks. Focusing on investment banking, our paper examines whether Japan faces the same developments as did Great Britain, whether the Wimbledon effect is a plausible scenario for Japan, and whether the analogy between the two financial centers is suitable.

The two other scenarios are strong positions of foreign-Japanese joint ventures ("mixed double") and the continuing dominance of Japanese financial-service providers ("home run").While domination by foreign financial institutions has come to pass in Britain, its BigB ang has at the same time boosted London's position as a financial center. However, in this paper we will explain why Japan's case is different from the situation in the British financialmarkets. Not only is market domination by foreigners in Japan an effect that cannot be expected in the medium run, but Tokyo's domestic orientation distinguishes it from so-called global centers such as London and New York and makes it highly vulnerable in the current situation. Japan's long-lasting economic problems, Tokyo's historical lack of a greater region it has served as a financial center, and an increasing need for globally competitive financial services by large international Japanese corporations cast doubt on the future status of Tokyo as a leading financial center.

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Shorenstein APARC
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In the second decade of market reform, rural cadre and entrepreneur households enjoy large net income advantages of roughly equal magnitude. Cadre household incomes are primarily from salaries, and they do not decline with increasing levels of rural industrialization. These cross-sectional findings about income determination are reinforced by an event-history analysis of occupational shifts. With large income advantages based on salary income, at no point in market reform have cadres moved into self-employment or private entrepreneurship at higher rates than ordinary farmers. However, village cadres have become the most important source of collective enterprise managers and collective enterprise managers in turn have become the most important source of new private entrepreneurs. Therefore the thriving collective enterprise sector of the 1980's has served as a breeding ground for private enterprise in the 1990's.

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Journal Articles
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Journal of Comparative Economics
Authors
Andrew G. Walder
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Pamela Yatsko the former Shanghai correspondent for the Far Eastern Review will discuss her new book, New Shanghai: The Rocky Rebirth of China's Legendary City.

Building 50, Room 51P

Pamela Yatsko Far Eastern Review
Seminars
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Atrica's President and CEO, Vivek Ragavan, will speak about the compelling productivity gains that are motivating Metro service providers to build their next-generation networks using Optical Ethernet technology. He will discuss this in the context of markets both in the U.S. and Asia. Vivek Ragavan, who has more than 20 years of executive management experience in the telecommunications industry, was most recently President and CEO of Redback Networks. Before that he was a founder, and served as President and CEO of Siara Systems, which was acquired by Redback in March 2000. Prior to Siara, Ragavan was President of ADC Telecommunications' Residential Broadband Group, where he was responsible for ADC's broadband communication access and transport businesses. Earlier, Ragavan was Vice President of Engineering at General Instrument where he led the company's development of a leading digital video transport system. He received a BSEE from Northwestern University and an MSEE from Cornell University.

Okimoto Conference Room, Encina Hall, third floor, east wing

Vivek Ragavan President and CEO Speaker Atrica
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12:00 p.m. Katsuyuki Tsukada, Nihon Unisys Company (JR) "Development of the New Business Model of Digital Contents Trade" 12:20 p.m. Tetsu Fukuoka, Sumitomo Corporation of America (HR) "Current Activity of Venture Capitals in Silicon Valley" 12:40 p.m. Takayuki Niikura, Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (RH) "Japan and Regional Choices" 1:00 p.m. Kotaro Inuzuka, Toyobo Company, Ltd. (FC) "Application of Smart Structure Technologies at TOYOBO" 1:20 p.m. Takeshi Myoi, Tokyo Electric Power Company (RD) "Strategies and Management of R&D at Tokyo Electric Power Company" 1:40 p.m. Takihiko Ashiya, Kansai Electric Power Company (RH) "Proposal of Strategic Viewpoints in Diversification Based on Analysis of Failures in the U.S. Telecommunication Industry"

Philippines Conference Room, Encina Hall East, Third Floor

A/PARC Visiting Fellows Listed Below:
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12:00 p.m. Akira Kobayashi, Japan Patent Office (DO) "How to Handle Patents in Venture Companies" 12:20 p.m. Joseph Huang, AllCan Investment Company (MH) "Venture Capitals and Entrepreneurship in the Silicon Valley and the Greater China Region" 12:40 p.m. Seishi Nakatani, Shiraimatsu Pharmaceutical (DO) "Evaluation of the IT Industry Potential" 1:00 p.m. Tetsuo Fujita, Japan Research Institute (GS) "The Role of Information Technology on the Economic Development of Japan" 1:20 p.m. Makoto Kawashima, Ministry of Finance (DO) "Recent Changes to the Banking Business Model and the U.S. Response" 1:40 p.m. Eui Yong Chung, Samsung Company (GS) "Collaboration Between the U.S. and Korea in the Semi-Conductor Industry"

Philippines Conference Room, Encina Hall East, Third Floor

Visiting Fellows Listed Below:
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A generation of research on Red Guard politics has traced the origins of its debilitating factionalism to social and political divisions that were well established among students on the eve of the Cultural Revolution. These social interpretations impute political motives to student activists according to their positions in the pre-Cultural Revolution status quo. However, a closer examination of events during the summer and early autumn of 1966 in BeijingÑwhere the Red Guards and their factional divisions first emergedÑsuggests a different interpretation. Factions took shape when student activists from similar social backgrounds responded differently to ambiguous and rapidly changing political signals. These initial acts left students on opposite sides of a growing political divide and exposed them to unforeseen risks as the movement took unpredictable turns. In this interpretation, student divisions are rooted in political interactions in the early phases of the conflict itself. Red Guard factions did not emerge in Beijing as expressions of opposed group interests based on pre-existing social divisions, but as struggles to vindicate earlier actions and avoid the harsh fate of political victims.

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Journal Articles
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Journal Publisher
The Journal of Asian Studies
Authors
Andrew G. Walder
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