The Precarious State of Cross-Strait Deterrence

Statement before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission on “Deterring PRC Aggression Toward Taiwan”

Cross-strait deterrence is arguably weaker today than at any point since the Korean War. Impressive Chinese military modernization, U.S. failure to build robust coalitions to counter Chinese regional aggression, and Xi Jinping’s personal ambition, all coalesce to create a situation in which Chinese leaders may see some aggregate benefit to using force. Mastro supports this assessment in her response to the Commission’s specific questions.