All Shorenstein APARC News Commentary April 9, 2021

Gi-Wook Shin Discusses South Korean Ruling Party’s Local Election Losses on CNBC

“The South Korean people gave the Moon administration a red card,” says APARC Director Gi-Wook Shin, predicting that containing soaring housing prices and other domestic challenges will be the deciding issues in next year’s presidential election.
South Korean men standing up, wearing face masks, holding hands and cheering
Oh Se-hoon (C) the candidate of the main opposition People Power Party celebrates with party's members while watching televisions broadcasting the results of exit polls for the Seoul mayoral by-election at party headquarters in Seoul, South Korea on April 7, 2021 in Seoul, South Korea. Voters went to cast ballots for new mayors in Seoul on Wednesday in by-elections deemed a critical bellwether for next year's presidential contest. Song Kyung-Seok/ Getty Images

South Korean President Moon Jae-in's Democratic Party suffered a devastating defeat in a special election for mayoral posts in the country’s two largest cities, Seoul and Busan. “These mayoral elections became a referendum on the ruling party,” says APARC and Korea Program Director Gi-Wook Shin in an interview on CNBC Squawk Box Asia. “South Korean voters gave the Moon administration a red card.”

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Anger at soaring housing prices and ongoing investigations into accusations of corruption has decimated the credibility of Moon and his left-leaning Democratic Party in the eyes of many voters. “The South Korean people have begun to believe that the current government is quite incompetent,” Shin says. In the foreign policy arena, too, the Moon administration has been on a downhill slide. It has failed to make a breakthrough on the stalemate with North Korea, has seen the relationship with Japan deteriorating to the worst it has ever been and is struggling to contend with China.

But it is domestic policy, particularly containing housing prices, that will be the key issue in next year’s presidential election, Shin argues. Another issue to watch is COVID-19, he notes. A year ago, South Korean voters rewarded the administration’s handling of the pandemic, but now the government is facing a backlash over its slow vaccine rollout.

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