America's Alliances in Northeast Asia
Wednesday, January 14, 20042:00 PM - 5:00 PM (Pacific)
Wednesday, January 14
Welcoming Remarks
2:00 Michael Armacost, Shorenstein APARC
Security Dimension of the Alliances
2:10-4:00
Chair: Daniel Okimoto, Senior Fellow, SIIS and Shorenstein APARC
The Changes in the US's Strategic Doctrine
Kurt Campbell, Senior Vice President & Director, International Security Program, Center for Security and International Studies
What key elements of change in American strategic doctrine have been introduced by the Bush Administration? What implications do they have for US alliances in Northeast Asia?
The China Dimension
Michael Lampton, Director, China Studies Program, Johns Hopkins University
What implications would improved Sino-US relations have on America's alliances in Asia?
Jing Huang, Associate Professor of Political Science, Utah State University
How have Chinese attitudes and policies toward America's Northeast Asian alliances changed over the past five years or so? What accounts for those changes? What implications have they for the future of these alliances?
Discussant: William Perry, Michael and Barbara Berberian Professor, School of Engineering, Stanford University and the 19th Secretary of Defense for the United States
4:30-6:00 The Future of America's Alliances in Northeast Asia
Admiral Thomas Fargo, Commander, US Pacific Command
Keynote and Public Address
Introduction to be made by William Perry
Bechtel Conference Center, Encina Hall, first floor
Thursday, January 15
Changing View of the Regional Security Environment and the Alliances
8:00-10:15
Chair: Michael Armacost, Shorenstein APARC
The Japanese Government's Views on the Alliance
Kuriyama Takakazu, Ambassador, retired
How have the views of the Japanese government changed in recent years with respect to the regional security environment and the mission and strategic focus of the US-Japan alliance? How have they changed with respect to the security responsibilities? Should Japan be prepared to shoulder on these responsibilities on its own outside the contours of the alliance?
The View of the Republic of Korea's Government of the Alliance
Kim Won-soo, Visiting Scholar, Shorenstein APARC & former Secretary to the President of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Office of the President, Republic of Korea
How have South Korean government perception and policies changed in recent years vis-à-vis the regional security environment and the mission and strategic focus of the US-ROK alliance? How have they changed with respect to the security responsibilities that South Korea is expected to shoulder on its own, outside the contours of the alliance?
The US Government's Views on the US-Japan Alliance
Rust Deming, Distinguished Visiting Fellow, National Defense University & Ambassador, retired
How have American government perceptions and policies changed in recent years vis-à-vis the mission and strategic focus of the US-Japan alliance?
The US Government's View on the U.S.-Republic of Korea Alliance
Victor Cha, D.S. Song Associate Professor of Government and Asian Studies, Georgetown University
How have American government perceptions and policies changed in recent years vis-à-vis the mission and strategic focus of the US-Japan alliance?
Discussant: Christopher LaFleur, Cyrus Vance Fellow in Diplomatic Studies, Council on Foreign Relations
The Changing Domestic Politics of the Alliance
10:30-12:15
Chair: Gi-Wook Shin, Director, Korean Studies Program, Shorenstein APARC
Japanese Domestic Views of the Alliance
Nakanishi Hiroshi, Professor, Graduate School of Law, Kyoto University
Since the mid-1990s, what noteworthy changes have surfaced in domestic support or opposition to the US-Japan alliance? What changes in support or opposition to the bilateral cooperation on security issues in Asia and elsewhere?
The Changes in South Korean Domestic Views of the Alliance
Lee Chung-min, Professor, Graduate School of International Studies, Yonsei University
How have domestic political dynamics and public attitudes toward the US-ROK alliance and bilateral cooperation on security issues changed in recent years? What accounts for those changes? What implications do they have for US alliances in Northeast Asia?
American Domestic Views of the US-Republic of Korea Alliance
Donald Gregg, President, The Korea Society
How have American public attitudes (as reflected in public opinion polls, press reporting, and Congressional actions) evolved toward the US-ROK alliance and bilateral defense cooperation in recent years? What accounts for these changes? What are their implications for the future of the alliance?
Discussant: Daniel Okimoto, Senior Fellow, SIIS and Shorenstein APARC
Adjustments in the Operational Arrangement for Defense Cooperation
1:30-3:45
Chair & Discussant: Henry Rowen, Senior Fellow Emeritus, SIIS and Shorenstein APARC
Japanese Adjustments in US-Japan Defense Cooperation
Yamaguchi Noboru, Major General, Japan Ground Self Defense Force
What adjustments have occurred in recent years in the operational arrangements underpinning US-Japan defense cooperation? What further changes would the Japanese Government like to promote?
US-Japan Defense Cooperation
Ralph Cossa, President, Pacific Forum, Center for Strategic and International Studies
What adjustments have occurred in recent years in the operational arrangements underpinning US-Japan defense cooperation? What additional changes is the Bush Administration likely to promote?
US-Republic of Korea Defense Cooperation
William Drennan, Deputy Director, United States Institute of Peace
What adjustments have occurred in recent years in the operational arrangements underpinning US-Japan defense cooperation? What additional changes is the Bush Administration likely to promote?
US-Republic of Korea Defense Cooperation
Kim Jae chang, General, Joint Korea-US Command, (retired) and Co-Chairman, Council on ROK-US Security Studies
What adjustments have occurred in recent years in the operational arrangements underpinning US-ROK defense cooperation? What further changes would the Republic of Korea like to promote?
Where Do We Go From Here? Conclusions
4:00-5:00
Michael Armacost, Shorenstein Distinguished Fellow & Ambassador, retired
Daniel Okimoto, Senior Fellow, SIIS and Shorenstein APARC
Henry Rowen, Senior Fellow Emeritus, SIIS and Shorenstein APARC
Robert Scalapino, Robson Research Professor of Government, Emeritus, University of California, Berkeley